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  • The brief
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  • This week · 7
  • This quarter · 11
  • Big bets · 3
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Generated Nov 10, 2026
  1. Programmable
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  3. Orca Aerospace
Orca Aerospace logo

growth playbook · Nov 10, 2026

orcaaerospace.com (opens in a new tab)

Orca Aerospace growth playbook

Diagnosis

Orca Aerospace is a five-person Y Combinator Fall 2026 company with deep GNC credentials and a fresh letter of intent worth up to $20M from Orbital, a data-center constellation. Its website hasn't caught up: five pages last updated in August, no customer, no news, no social links and no share image, while the credibility it has earned lives on Payload and YC.

In a field where In Orbit Aerospace already holds NASA and SpaceWERX awards and Neuraspace and Kayhan sell to the same operators, the job is to turn that one deal into repeatable proof.

Put the deal and the shadow-mode adoption path on the homepage first, then package a shadow-mode pilot, publish the safety case and flight-software compatibility, open a government lane, and use the bus-maker and protocol strategy to reach many fleets through few integrations.

Growth Score

6/10

Biggest Opportunity

Every Orca integration is once per flight-software stack and every license is per satellite, so one bus partner or one open protocol can carry Orca onto many fleets as constellations scale from tens to thousands of vehicles.

Biggest Risk

Operators are cautious about letting AI command a spacecraft, and better-funded or better-credentialed rivals (In Orbit with government awards, Neuraspace with a broad product line) can win the first pilots while Orca's public proof is still one letter of intent.

01

Start here

The three moves to make first. Each one is written up in full below.

  1. 1

    Put the Orbital letter of intent and the shadow-mode adoption path on the homepage, which still shows no customer

    Send Orbital the proposed one-line proof statement and ask for approval to use its name and logo.

    High impact First result in 2 weeks
  2. 2

    Give every shared link a preview: add a social share image and description now that the press is linking to Orca

    Make one 1200×630 share image.

    Medium impact First result in 1 week
  3. 3

    Add a news page so buyers who search Orca find Payload and YC, not just five pages

    Write the two first entries.

    Medium impact First result in 2 weeks

02

Your idea portfolio

22 ideas, grouped by when to run them. Open any idea for how to run it: the steps, who to approach, copy you can use, and how to measure it.

  • 8 ideas are marked Unexpected: plays you are unlikely to have tried.

    1 of these are things Programmable can build and run for you.

Every idea placed by the effort it takes against the impact it could have. Quick wins sit top left; select a number to open that idea. The filters below narrow the list by status, timing, category and what Programmable can build.

Effort vs impactEach number is an idea. Select one to open it.
Impact →
Quick wins · 1Big bets · 10Fill-ins · 8Reconsider · 3
Effort →

Showing 22 of 22 ideas

This week 7

Quick wins with a clear first action.

  • 01

    On November 5, 2026 Payload reported Orca's letter of intent with Orbital, worth up to $20M, with an integration fee plus a per-satellite license and a staged rollout: shadow mode first, then autonomy in layers. The homepage, checked November 9, shows none of it: no customer, partner, deal or news, and the sitemap's five pages were last updated August 28. A satellite operator who hears about Orca and checks the site sees a vision and a "Request a briefing" button, but no proof anyone has committed and no picture of how adoption would work on their own fleet.

    High impactLow effort First result in 2 weeks CEO

    First action

    Send Orbital the proposed one-line proof statement and ask for approval to use its name and logo.

    How to measure it

    Qualified briefing requests from operators

    Now
    –
    Target
    Double the current monthly rate
    By
    60 days

    Steps

    1. 1

      Get approval

      Agree the proof line, logo use and link with Orbital.

      CEO 2 days

    2. 2

      Write the proof band

      One line on the deal plus Y Combinator, linking to Payload.

      CEO 1 hour

    3. 3

      Draw the adoption path

      Integrate once, shadow mode, autonomy in layers, in three short steps.

      CTO 1 day

    4. 4

      Rename the call to action

      "Request a shadow-mode briefing" on the hero and contact section.

      CEO 30 minutes

    5. 5

      Publish

      Update the static page and the sitemap date.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer 2 hours

    6. 6

      Point outreach at it

      Use the updated homepage in every follow-up and LinkedIn post.

      CEO ongoing

    7. 7

      Measure

      Count briefing requests and where they came from, monthly.

      CEO monthly

    First result
    2 weeks
    Cost
    $0, founder time only
    Owner
    CEO

    Smallest test

    Add the one-line proof band and Payload link today, and compare briefing requests for the next month.

    Why it works

    Add a short proof band under the hero: "Selected by Orbital for onboard autonomy across its data-center fleet (letter of intent, up to $20M)", linking to the Payload story, next to "Backed by Y Combinator". Below "Orca Lives Onboard", add a three-step "How Orca comes aboard" strip from the deal: (1) integrate once with your flight software, (2) fly in shadow mode, with every decision sent down for human review, (3) hand over autonomy layer by layer, collision avoidance first. Rename the button to "Request a shadow-mode briefing". Confirm the wording with Orbital before publishing.

    Spacecraft operators buy from vendors other operators have trusted, and the biggest objection to AI commanding a vehicle is the risk. A named customer plus a visible, reversible adoption path answers both on the first screen, and turns press attention into briefing requests instead of a dead end.

    Ready to use

    CopyHomepage proof band and adoption path

    PROOF BAND
    Selected by Orbital for onboard autonomy across its data-center fleet (letter of intent, up to $20M) · Backed by Y Combinator · Registered for U.S. government & defense contracts
    
    HOW ORCA COMES ABOARD
    1. Integrate once. Orca connects to your flight software stack one time; every vehicle follows the same rules.
    2. Fly in shadow mode. Orca decides, your team reviews every decision on the ground.
    3. Hand over in layers. Collision avoidance first, then tasking and fault response, when you're ready.
    
    [Request a shadow-mode briefing]

    Risks and how to handle them

    • A letter of intent is not a contract

      Say "letter of intent" plainly; buyers in space respect precise wording.

    • Orbital prefers not to be named

      Use "a data-center constellation" plus the Payload link until it agrees.

    Evidence

    • PressPayload, November 5, 2026: a letter of intent with Orbital worth up to $20M (an integration fee plus a per-satellite license fee) for Orbital's planned data-center satellite fleet; Orca integrates once with the flight software of Orbital's bus partner, Reflex Aerospace; it starts in shadow mode, sending telemetry down for human review, then gains autonomy in layers; parts may be tested on Orbital's July 2027 Pathfinder and it is slated for Orbital-1 in 2028; Orbital plans 10 satellites in 2029, 100 in 2030 and 1,000 in 2031; Orca plans to keep its coordination protocols open to other operators.Source
    • Your websiteHomepage (checked November 9, 2026): title "Orca Aerospace — Mission Control, Onboard"; sections "Space Is Scaling Faster Than The People Who Fly It", "Orca Lives Onboard" (Onboard, Gated, Independent) and "Put An Orca Onboard"; a "Request a briefing" button and an email link to the founders; "Backed by Y Combinator" and "Registered for U.S. government & defense contracts" with a CAGE code. No customer, partner, deal, news or social-media link appears.Source
    • Your websiteSitemap: 5 URLs (home, founders, join, privacy, terms), all last updated August 28, 2026; no blog, news, documentation, case-study, pricing or government page; the homepage has no social share image.Source
  • 08

    The homepage has no social share image. With the Orbital story out and the YC batch underway, Orca's link is being pasted into LinkedIn, Slack and email, where it shows as a bare URL instead of the "Mission Control, Onboard" message.

    Medium impactLow effort First result in 1 week CEO

    First action

    Make one 1200×630 share image.

    How to measure it

    Social referral visits

    Now
    –
    Target
    +30%
    By
    30 days

    Steps

    1. 1

      Design the image

      1200×630 with logo and line.

      CEO 1 hour

    2. 2

      Write the description

      One sentence with the proof.

      CEO 15 minutes

    3. 3

      Add tags

      Open Graph and Twitter tags on all five pages.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer 1 hour

    4. 4

      Check previews

      LinkedIn post inspector and Slack.

      CEO 15 minutes

    5. 5

      Per-page images

      A founders and a join variant.

      CEO 1 hour

    6. 6

      Measure

      Referral visits by source.

      CEO monthly

    First result
    1 week
    Cost
    $0
    Owner
    CEO

    Smallest test

    Add the homepage image today and re-share the Payload story.

    Why it works

    Add an Open Graph and Twitter card image (the orca mark plus "Mission Control, Onboard" and "Selected by Orbital"), a share title and description to every page, and check previews in LinkedIn's post inspector.

    A visual preview gets more clicks on every share, at no cost, exactly when attention is highest.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Cached old previews

      Re-scrape in the LinkedIn inspector.

    Evidence

    • Your websiteSitemap: 5 URLs (home, founders, join, privacy, terms), all last updated August 28, 2026; no blog, news, documentation, case-study, pricing or government page; the homepage has no social share image.Source
    • Y CombinatorY Combinator profile: Fall 2026 batch, founded 2026, team of 5, San Francisco; "AI spacecraft operators that lives onboard the vehicle"; lists a LinkedIn company page and the November 5, 2026 Payload story, neither of which the website links to.Source
  • 09

    Orca's site has five pages, none of them news, all last updated in August. The company's two strongest public signals, the Payload exclusive and the YC profile, live elsewhere and are not linked.

    Medium impactLow effort First result in 2 weeks CEO

    First action

    Write the two first entries.

    How to measure it

    News page visits

    Now
    –
    Target
    200 a month
    By
    60 days

    Steps

    1. 1

      Write entries

      YC batch and Orbital letter of intent.

      CEO 1 hour

    2. 2

      Build the page

      Simple dated list.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer 2 hours

    3. 3

      Link it

      Navigation and footer.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer 15 minutes

    4. 4

      Update the sitemap

      Real last-modified dates.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer 15 minutes

    5. 5

      Share

      Each entry on LinkedIn.

      CEO per entry

    6. 6

      Keep it current

      One entry per milestone.

      CEO ongoing

    First result
    2 weeks
    Cost
    $0
    Owner
    CEO

    Smallest test

    Publish the page with two entries this week.

    Why it works

    Add /news with dated entries: the YC Fall 2026 batch, the Orbital letter of intent with the Payload link, and each future milestone (pilot, flight test, award). Link it from the navigation and keep the sitemap dates current.

    Due-diligence readers (operators, investors, candidates) look for momentum; a dated record shows it and gives search engines fresh pages.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • A sparse page looks thin

      Add short build updates between big milestones.

    Evidence

    • Your websiteSitemap: 5 URLs (home, founders, join, privacy, terms), all last updated August 28, 2026; no blog, news, documentation, case-study, pricing or government page; the homepage has no social share image.Source
    • Y CombinatorY Combinator profile: Fall 2026 batch, founded 2026, team of 5, San Francisco; "AI spacecraft operators that lives onboard the vehicle"; lists a LinkedIn company page and the November 5, 2026 Payload story, neither of which the website links to.Source
    • PressPayload, November 5, 2026: a letter of intent with Orbital worth up to $20M (an integration fee plus a per-satellite license fee) for Orbital's planned data-center satellite fleet; Orca integrates once with the flight software of Orbital's bus partner, Reflex Aerospace; it starts in shadow mode, sending telemetry down for human review, then gains autonomy in layers; parts may be tested on Orbital's July 2027 Pathfinder and it is slated for Orbital-1 in 2028; Orbital plans 10 satellites in 2029, 100 in 2030 and 1,000 in 2031; Orca plans to keep its coordination protocols open to other operators.Source
  • 10

    Y Combinator lists an Orca LinkedIn company page, but the website links to no social profile at all. The space industry's operators, primes and engineers talk on LinkedIn, and the founders' Lockheed Martin and MIT networks are there.

    Medium impactLow effort First result in 1 month CEO

    First action

    Add the footer link and pin the Orbital post.

    How to measure it

    Company page followers

    Now
    –
    Target
    +500
    By
    90 days

    Steps

    1. 1

      Link it

      Footer and founders page.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer 15 minutes

    2. 2

      Pin the deal

      Orbital post with the Payload link.

      CEO 15 minutes

    3. 3

      Plan updates

      One technical update a month.

      CEO 1 hour

    4. 4

      Write the first

      Integration or test progress.

      CTO 1 hour

    5. 5

      Reshare

      Both founders, with a personal note.

      CEO monthly

    6. 6

      Track

      Followers and inbound messages.

      CEO monthly

    First result
    1 month
    Cost
    $0
    Owner
    CEO

    Smallest test

    Add the link and post one update this week.

    Why it works

    Add the LinkedIn link to the header or footer, then post a short monthly update from the company page, reshared by both founders: what was integrated, what was tested in the loop, what was learned. Pin the Orbital story.

    Regular, technical updates keep Orca in front of the small number of people who buy or influence spacecraft software, and help recruiting.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Revealing customer details

      Share only what partners have announced.

    Evidence

    • Y CombinatorY Combinator profile: Fall 2026 batch, founded 2026, team of 5, San Francisco; "AI spacecraft operators that lives onboard the vehicle"; lists a LinkedIn company page and the November 5, 2026 Payload story, neither of which the website links to.Source
    • Your websiteHomepage (checked November 9, 2026): title "Orca Aerospace — Mission Control, Onboard"; sections "Space Is Scaling Faster Than The People Who Fly It", "Orca Lives Onboard" (Onboard, Gated, Independent) and "Put An Orca Onboard"; a "Request a briefing" button and an email link to the founders; "Backed by Y Combinator" and "Registered for U.S. government & defense contracts" with a CAGE code. No customer, partner, deal, news or social-media link appears.Source
    • Your websiteFounders page: the CEO founded the first AI-GNC team at Lockheed Martin Space and has over a decade of spacecraft GNC experience; the CTO did trajectory and mission design research at MIT's ACL and ARCLab, worked on GNC at Lockheed Martin and has published AAS/AIAA astrodynamics work.Source
  • 11

    The homepage's main conversion is a "Request a briefing" button and an email link to the founders. With a five-person team, every briefing costs founder time, and the deal Orca won is priced per satellite, so knowing fleet size, orbit and flight software before the call decides who gets one first.

    Medium impactLow effort First result in 2 weeks CEO

    First action

    Write the four questions and the reply template.

    How to measure it

    Briefings that lead to a pilot proposal

    Now
    –
    Target
    25%
    By
    2 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Write questions

      Organisation, fleet, orbit, stack.

      CEO 30 minutes

    2. 2

      Update the request

      Add the fields to the briefing request.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer 2 hours

    3. 3

      Reply template

      Agenda keyed to their answers.

      CEO 1 hour

    4. 4

      Triage rule

      Who gets a full briefing first.

      CEO 30 minutes

    5. 5

      Track

      Simple sheet of requests and outcomes.

      CEO weekly

    6. 6

      Review

      Which answers predict pilots.

      CEO monthly

    First result
    2 weeks
    Cost
    $0
    Owner
    CEO

    Smallest test

    Ask the four questions by email reply to the next five requests.

    Why it works

    Ask four short questions with the request: organisation, fleet size (now and planned), orbit regime, and flight-software stack or bus. Reply within one working day with a proposed agenda based on the answers; send small or early fleets the safety-case paper and a shorter call.

    A specific agenda shows expertise before the first meeting, and qualification protects founder time for the fleets that pay per satellite.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Fewer requests from added fields

      Keep it to four optional-looking short fields.

    Evidence

    • Your websiteHomepage (checked November 9, 2026): title "Orca Aerospace — Mission Control, Onboard"; sections "Space Is Scaling Faster Than The People Who Fly It", "Orca Lives Onboard" (Onboard, Gated, Independent) and "Put An Orca Onboard"; a "Request a briefing" button and an email link to the founders; "Backed by Y Combinator" and "Registered for U.S. government & defense contracts" with a CAGE code. No customer, partner, deal, news or social-media link appears.Source
    • Y CombinatorY Combinator profile: Fall 2026 batch, founded 2026, team of 5, San Francisco; "AI spacecraft operators that lives onboard the vehicle"; lists a LinkedIn company page and the November 5, 2026 Payload story, neither of which the website links to.Source
    • PressPayload, November 5, 2026: a letter of intent with Orbital worth up to $20M (an integration fee plus a per-satellite license fee) for Orbital's planned data-center satellite fleet; Orca integrates once with the flight software of Orbital's bus partner, Reflex Aerospace; it starts in shadow mode, sending telemetry down for human review, then gains autonomy in layers; parts may be tested on Orbital's July 2027 Pathfinder and it is slated for Orbital-1 in 2028; Orbital plans 10 satellites in 2029, 100 in 2030 and 1,000 in 2031; Orca plans to keep its coordination protocols open to other operators.Source
  • 16

    Orca's only open role, Founding Flight Software Engineer, is listed on its own join page as San Francisco on-site or hybrid, but on Y Combinator as San Francisco or Remote (US). The YC listing also adds the equity range, the US citizen/visa requirement and the stack, which the site leaves out. For a first engineering hire in a niche field, mixed signals cost candidates.

    Medium impactLow effort First result in 2 weeks CEO

    First action

    Decide the location policy and update both posts.

    How to measure it

    Qualified applicants for the role

    Now
    –
    Target
    +50%
    By
    60 days

    Steps

    1. 1

      Decide location

      On-site, hybrid or remote US.

      CEO 1 hour

    2. 2

      Align posts

      Site and YC identical.

      CEO 30 minutes

    3. 3

      Add details

      Equity, eligibility, stack.

      CEO 30 minutes

    4. 4

      Show the work

      A photo of the test bench and the first integration.

      CTO 1 hour

    5. 5

      Share

      Founders' networks and flight-software communities.

      CTO 1 week

    6. 6

      Track

      Applicants by source.

      CEO weekly

    First result
    2 weeks
    Cost
    $0
    Owner
    CEO

    Smallest test

    Fix the location line on both posts today.

    Why it works

    Decide whether the role can be remote, then make both listings match. Add to the join page the equity range, the eligibility requirement, the languages, and a short note on what the hardware-in-the-loop setup looks like and the first integration (the Orbital program).

    Clear, consistent posts bring more qualified applicants and avoid late-stage drop-outs over location or eligibility.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Remote weakens hardware testing

      State the on-site days needed for the bench.

    Evidence

    • HiringJoin page: one open role, Founding Flight Software Engineer, San Francisco on-site or hybrid, $100k–$200k plus equity; writes and tests flight software for the onboard operator stack, runs software- and hardware-in-the-loop testing and integrates with other flight software platforms; applications go to the Y Combinator listing.Source
    • HiringFounding Flight Software Engineer on Y Combinator: San Francisco or Remote (US), 0.25%–2.00% equity, 1+ years, US citizen/visa only, C++, Python and Linux; integrates the stack with flight software platforms customers already fly and tests against flight-representative targets; an onboard LLM decides what to do and a deterministic flight stack decides how.Source
  • 22

    The site is already fast: real visitors pass Core Web Vitals and lab scores are 99 on mobile and 100 on desktop. Two small items remain: one colour-contrast failure, and fonts make up 183 KB of a 207 KB page with short cache lifetimes, so returning visitors download them again.

    Low impactLow effort First result in 1 day Founding Flight Software Engi…

    First action

    Fix the flagged contrast colour.

    How to measure it

    Lighthouse accessibility

    Now
    –
    Target
    100
    By
    1 week

    Steps

    1. 1

      Fix contrast

      Darken or lighten the flagged text.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer 15 minutes

    2. 2

      Subset fonts

      Only characters and weights used.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer 1 hour

    3. 3

      Cache them

      Long cache lifetimes on font files.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer 30 minutes

    4. 4

      Re-test

      PageSpeed mobile and desktop.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer 15 minutes

    5. 5

      Set a budget

      Keep pages under 300 KB.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer 15 minutes

    6. 6

      Check new pages

      Same test for each new page.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer per page

    First result
    1 day
    Cost
    $0
    Owner
    Founding Flight Software Engineer

    Smallest test

    Fix the contrast and re-run PageSpeed.

    Why it works

    Raise the contrast of the flagged text, subset the fonts to the characters used (or use one fewer weight), and serve them from a host with long cache lifetimes. Keep the page as light as it is when adding the proof band and news.

    Readable text matters for the engineers and programme staff reviewing the site; lighter fonts keep it fast as content grows.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Font change alters the look

      Subset, don't replace.

    Evidence

    • PageSpeedMobile performance 99 and desktop 100; Chrome field data shows real visitors pass Core Web Vitals (LCP 888 ms, INP 62 ms, CLS 0 at the 75th percentile); fonts are 183 KB of a 207 KB page and longer cache lifetimes could save about 185 KB; accessibility 95 with one colour-contrast failure.Source

This quarter 11

The core plays for the next three months.

  • 02

    The Orbital deal starts in shadow mode, with every decision sent down for human review before any autonomy is granted. That is the lowest-risk way for an operator to try AI onboard, but the website offers only an open-ended briefing, so each prospect has to invent the first step themselves.

    High impactMedium effort First result in 1 quarter CEO

    First action

    Write a one-page pilot scope from the Orbital integration plan.

    How to measure it

    Signed pilots

    Now
    –
    Target
    2
    By
    2 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Define scope

      Inputs, duration, scenarios and the final report.

      CTO 3 days

    2. 2

      Set the price

      Integration fee credited against the license.

      CEO 1 day

    3. 3

      Build the test rig

      Repeatable software-in-the-loop setup for a new stack.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer 1 month

    4. 4

      Write the report template

      Decisions, timing, guardrail denials, human comparison.

      CTO 3 days

    5. 5

      Offer it

      In every briefing and on the homepage.

      CEO ongoing

    6. 6

      Review

      Pilot-to-license conversion after each pilot.

      CEO per pilot

    First result
    1 quarter
    Cost
    Engineering time per pilot
    Owner
    CEO

    Smallest test

    Offer the pilot scope to the next three briefing requests.

    Why it works

    Package a fixed-scope pilot: Orca runs in shadow mode on the operator's simulator or flight-representative target, against their own scenarios, for a set period, ending in a report of every decision Orca would have taken and how it compares with what the team did. Price it as a paid integration fee that is credited against the per-satellite license if they proceed.

    A defined first step with a credit shortens procurement, and it mirrors the integration-fee-plus-license model Orbital already accepted.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Pilots consume the small team

      Cap at two concurrent pilots.

    • Operators won't share data

      Run against their simulator, not live telemetry.

    Builds on

    Evidence

    • PressPayload, November 5, 2026: a letter of intent with Orbital worth up to $20M (an integration fee plus a per-satellite license fee) for Orbital's planned data-center satellite fleet; Orca integrates once with the flight software of Orbital's bus partner, Reflex Aerospace; it starts in shadow mode, sending telemetry down for human review, then gains autonomy in layers; parts may be tested on Orbital's July 2027 Pathfinder and it is slated for Orbital-1 in 2028; Orbital plans 10 satellites in 2029, 100 in 2030 and 1,000 in 2031; Orca plans to keep its coordination protocols open to other operators.Source
    • HiringFounding Flight Software Engineer on Y Combinator: San Francisco or Remote (US), 0.25%–2.00% equity, 1+ years, US citizen/visa only, C++, Python and Linux; integrates the stack with flight software platforms customers already fly and tests against flight-representative targets; an onboard LLM decides what to do and a deterministic flight stack decides how.Source
    • Your websiteHomepage (checked November 9, 2026): title "Orca Aerospace — Mission Control, Onboard"; sections "Space Is Scaling Faster Than The People Who Fly It", "Orca Lives Onboard" (Onboard, Gated, Independent) and "Put An Orca Onboard"; a "Request a briefing" button and an email link to the founders; "Backed by Y Combinator" and "Registered for U.S. government & defense contracts" with a CAGE code. No customer, partner, deal, news or social-media link appears.Source
  • 03

    Orca's model is to integrate once per flight-software stack, and its engineer will integrate with the platforms customers already fly. Reflex Aerospace's stack is the first, through Orbital. The first question any operator's engineers will ask is "does it run on ours?", and the site has no technical page at all.

    High impactMedium effort First result in 1 month CTO

    First action

    List the interface Orca needs from any flight-software stack in one page.

    How to measure it

    Compatibility requests

    Now
    –
    Target
    10
    By
    90 days

    Steps

    1. 1

      Document the interface

      Telemetry, commands, timing, compute.

      CTO 3 days

    2. 2

      Confirm the first stack

      Agree with Reflex Aerospace how to describe it.

      CEO 1 week

    3. 3

      List the roadmap

      Stacks in progress, without dates you can't keep.

      CTO 1 day

    4. 4

      Build the page

      With a request-your-stack form.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer 2 days

    5. 5

      Promote

      Share in operator and flight-software communities.

      CEO ongoing

    6. 6

      Prioritise

      Rank stacks by satellites behind each request.

      CTO monthly

    First result
    1 month
    Cost
    Staff time only
    Owner
    CTO

    Smallest test

    Add a one-paragraph "Runs on" section to the homepage.

    Why it works

    Add a /compatibility page listing supported stacks (Reflex Aerospace via the Orbital program), stacks in progress, the interface Orca needs (telemetry in, commands out through the guardrail), and compute and memory requirements. Add a "request your stack" form that asks for the stack and bus.

    Engineers short-list vendors that plainly fit their stack, and the requests tell Orca which integration to build next for the most satellites.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Revealing too much architecture

      Publish the interface, not the internals.

    Evidence

    • PressPayload, November 5, 2026: a letter of intent with Orbital worth up to $20M (an integration fee plus a per-satellite license fee) for Orbital's planned data-center satellite fleet; Orca integrates once with the flight software of Orbital's bus partner, Reflex Aerospace; it starts in shadow mode, sending telemetry down for human review, then gains autonomy in layers; parts may be tested on Orbital's July 2027 Pathfinder and it is slated for Orbital-1 in 2028; Orbital plans 10 satellites in 2029, 100 in 2030 and 1,000 in 2031; Orca plans to keep its coordination protocols open to other operators.Source
    • HiringFounding Flight Software Engineer on Y Combinator: San Francisco or Remote (US), 0.25%–2.00% equity, 1+ years, US citizen/visa only, C++, Python and Linux; integrates the stack with flight software platforms customers already fly and tests against flight-representative targets; an onboard LLM decides what to do and a deterministic flight stack decides how.Source
    • Your websiteSitemap: 5 URLs (home, founders, join, privacy, terms), all last updated August 28, 2026; no blog, news, documentation, case-study, pricing or government page; the homepage has no social share image.Source
  • 04

    Orca's core answer to "is it safe to let AI fly a satellite?" is its gated design: the AI picks the goal, a deterministic planner makes the maneuver and a safety kernel checks each command against mission rules and vehicle limits. That is one line on the homepage, while it is exactly what a mission-assurance engineer needs to see in detail before recommending a briefing.

    High impactMedium effort First result in 2 months CTO

    First action

    Outline the paper's sections and the five hardest questions a skeptic would ask.

    How to measure it

    Paper-sourced briefing requests

    Now
    –
    Target
    5
    By
    90 days

    Steps

    1. 1

      Outline

      Architecture, checks, failure modes, testing.

      CTO 2 days

    2. 2

      Draft

      8-12 pages with diagrams.

      CTO 3 weeks

    3. 3

      Add test evidence

      Software- and hardware-in-the-loop results.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer 2 weeks

    4. 4

      Outside review

      A mission-assurance expert reads it.

      CEO 1 week

    5. 5

      Publish

      Ungated page and PDF, linked from the homepage.

      CEO 1 day

    6. 6

      Submit

      As an AIAA or AAS conference paper.

      CTO per deadline

    First result
    2 months
    Cost
    Founder time; optional reviewer fee
    Owner
    CTO

    Smallest test

    Publish a two-page "How Gated works" explainer first.

    Why it works

    Write a technical paper (8-12 pages) on the gated architecture: the split between "what" and "how", what the safety kernel checks, how it fails safe, how shadow mode builds evidence, and how it is tested in the loop. Publish it ungated as a PDF and a web page, and turn it into a conference paper.

    In safety-critical markets the safety argument is the sales pitch; a clear paper travels inside the buyer's organisation without Orca in the room.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Giving competitors the design

      Explain the principles and checks, not the code.

    Evidence

    • Your websiteHomepage (checked November 9, 2026): title "Orca Aerospace — Mission Control, Onboard"; sections "Space Is Scaling Faster Than The People Who Fly It", "Orca Lives Onboard" (Onboard, Gated, Independent) and "Put An Orca Onboard"; a "Request a briefing" button and an email link to the founders; "Backed by Y Combinator" and "Registered for U.S. government & defense contracts" with a CAGE code. No customer, partner, deal, news or social-media link appears.Source
    • PressPayload, November 5, 2026: a letter of intent with Orbital worth up to $20M (an integration fee plus a per-satellite license fee) for Orbital's planned data-center satellite fleet; Orca integrates once with the flight software of Orbital's bus partner, Reflex Aerospace; it starts in shadow mode, sending telemetry down for human review, then gains autonomy in layers; parts may be tested on Orbital's July 2027 Pathfinder and it is slated for Orbital-1 in 2028; Orbital plans 10 satellites in 2029, 100 in 2030 and 1,000 in 2031; Orca plans to keep its coordination protocols open to other operators.Source
    • Your websiteFounders page: the CEO founded the first AI-GNC team at Lockheed Martin Space and has over a decade of spacecraft GNC experience; the CTO did trajectory and mission design research at MIT's ACL and ARCLab, worked on GNC at Lockheed Martin and has published AAS/AIAA astrodynamics work.Source
  • 05

    The homepage says Orca is registered for U.S. government and defense contracts and shows a CAGE code, but there is no government page, so a program office or prime contractor has nothing to download and file. In Orbit Aerospace, a direct rival, already advertises NASA and SpaceWERX awards.

    Medium impactLow effort First result in 1 month CEO

    First action

    Draft the capability statement on one page.

    How to measure it

    Government or prime meetings

    Now
    –
    Target
    4
    By
    90 days

    Steps

    1. 1

      Collect identifiers

      CAGE and the other registration details and NAICS codes.

      CEO 1 day

    2. 2

      Draft

      One-page capability statement.

      CEO 2 days

    3. 3

      Add past performance

      Founders' GNC and research record, accurately described.

      CTO 1 day

    4. 4

      Publish

      Web page and PDF, footer link.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer 2 hours

    5. 5

      Send

      To small-business offices at primes and agencies.

      CEO ongoing

    6. 6

      Update

      After each award or flight milestone.

      CEO quarterly

    First result
    1 month
    Cost
    $0
    Owner
    CEO

    Smallest test

    Publish the PDF and send it to five prime small-business offices.

    Why it works

    Publish a /government page and a one-page capability statement PDF: core capabilities, differentiators (gated architecture, onboard operation), CAGE code and other identifiers, relevant NAICS codes, the team's past performance at Lockheed Martin and MIT, and contact details. Link it from the footer.

    Government buyers and primes look for a capability statement first; having one is table stakes for teaming and SBIR conversations.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Overstating past performance

      Describe the founders' prior work as theirs, not the company's.

    Evidence

    • Your websiteHomepage (checked November 9, 2026): title "Orca Aerospace — Mission Control, Onboard"; sections "Space Is Scaling Faster Than The People Who Fly It", "Orca Lives Onboard" (Onboard, Gated, Independent) and "Put An Orca Onboard"; a "Request a briefing" button and an email link to the founders; "Backed by Y Combinator" and "Registered for U.S. government & defense contracts" with a CAGE code. No customer, partner, deal, news or social-media link appears.Source
    • Competitor researchIn Orbit Aerospace (Payload, October 14, 2026): INTELLACT onboard autonomy for spacecraft health, maneuvers and anomaly response; a NASA Phase I SBIR for swarms and a SpaceWERX Phase I STTR for LEO constellations, building on a $1.8M Phase II STTR; slated to debut in shadow mode on the AFRL/NASA HyperSTEP mission in 2027; pitches moving operators from "in the loop" to "on the loop".Source
    • Your websiteFounders page: the CEO founded the first AI-GNC team at Lockheed Martin Space and has over a decade of spacecraft GNC experience; the CTO did trajectory and mission design research at MIT's ACL and ARCLab, worked on GNC at Lockheed Martin and has published AAS/AIAA astrodynamics work.Source
  • 06

    In Orbit Aerospace has a NASA Phase I SBIR for swarms and a SpaceWERX Phase I STTR for LEO constellations on top of a $1.8M Phase II. Those awards fund development and also act as public proof. Orca is registered for government contracts and its CTO's research covers collision avoidance and trajectory optimisation, but it has no awards listed.

    High impactMedium effort First result in 2 quarters CEO

    First action

    List every open autonomy-related topic and its deadline.

    How to measure it

    SBIR/STTR proposals

    Now
    –
    Target
    2 a quarter
    By
    2 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Track topics

      NASA, SpaceWERX, AFRL autonomy topics.

      CEO weekly

    2. 2

      Pick two

      Best fit with gated onboard autonomy.

      CTO 1 day

    3. 3

      Find a research partner

      University lab for STTR topics.

      CTO 2 weeks

    4. 4

      Write

      Reuse the safety case as the technical core.

      CTO 3 weeks

    5. 5

      Submit

      On the agency's schedule.

      CEO per deadline

    6. 6

      Publish wins

      On the government page and news page.

      CEO per award

    First result
    2 quarters
    Cost
    Founder time
    Owner
    CEO

    Smallest test

    Submit one Phase I proposal this cycle.

    Why it works

    Track every open NASA, SpaceWERX and AFRL topic on spacecraft autonomy, collision avoidance and constellation operations; pick two a quarter that match the gated architecture; pair the STTR ones with the CTO's university labs. Reuse the safety case (idea 4) as the technical core of each proposal.

    Non-dilutive money extends a five-person runway, and a Phase I award is the government proof Orca's site is missing.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Proposals pull focus from Orbital

      Only bid topics that build the same product.

    Builds on

    Evidence

    • Competitor researchIn Orbit Aerospace (Payload, October 14, 2026): INTELLACT onboard autonomy for spacecraft health, maneuvers and anomaly response; a NASA Phase I SBIR for swarms and a SpaceWERX Phase I STTR for LEO constellations, building on a $1.8M Phase II STTR; slated to debut in shadow mode on the AFRL/NASA HyperSTEP mission in 2027; pitches moving operators from "in the loop" to "on the loop".Source
    • Your websiteFounders page: the CEO founded the first AI-GNC team at Lockheed Martin Space and has over a decade of spacecraft GNC experience; the CTO did trajectory and mission design research at MIT's ACL and ARCLab, worked on GNC at Lockheed Martin and has published AAS/AIAA astrodynamics work.Source
    • Your websiteHomepage (checked November 9, 2026): title "Orca Aerospace — Mission Control, Onboard"; sections "Space Is Scaling Faster Than The People Who Fly It", "Orca Lives Onboard" (Onboard, Gated, Independent) and "Put An Orca Onboard"; a "Request a briefing" button and an email link to the founders; "Backed by Y Combinator" and "Registered for U.S. government & defense contracts" with a CAGE code. No customer, partner, deal, news or social-media link appears.Source
  • 12

    The CEO founded Lockheed Martin Space's first AI-GNC team and the CTO has published AAS/AIAA astrodynamics work on trajectory and mission design. In a market of a few hundred technical buyers, the conference session is where trust is built, and Orca's site shows none of this work.

    Medium impactMedium effort First result in 2 quarters CTO

    First action

    List the next three conference deadlines.

    How to measure it

    Accepted talks or papers

    Now
    –
    Target
    2
    By
    3 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Pick events

      Astrodynamics, small-sat and space-traffic venues.

      CEO 1 day

    2. 2

      Write abstracts

      Two topics, one each founder.

      CTO 1 week

    3. 3

      Submit

      Per deadline.

      CTO per deadline

    4. 4

      Prepare

      Slides with test results.

      CTO 2 weeks

    5. 5

      Book meetings

      Operators attending the event.

      CEO 2 weeks

    6. 6

      Republish

      Slides and recordings on the site.

      CEO 1 day

    First result
    2 quarters
    Cost
    Travel and registration
    Owner
    CTO

    Smallest test

    Submit one abstract this month.

    Why it works

    Submit talks or papers to the main astrodynamics, small-satellite and space-traffic conferences on onboard collision avoidance for dense constellations and on gating AI decisions with deterministic planners. Post slides and recordings on the news page.

    Technical talks reach the engineers who recommend vendors, and they compound into citations and inbound briefings.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Long lead times

      Also apply for panels and workshops with shorter deadlines.

    Builds on

    Evidence

    • Your websiteFounders page: the CEO founded the first AI-GNC team at Lockheed Martin Space and has over a decade of spacecraft GNC experience; the CTO did trajectory and mission design research at MIT's ACL and ARCLab, worked on GNC at Lockheed Martin and has published AAS/AIAA astrodynamics work.Source
    • Your websiteSitemap: 5 URLs (home, founders, join, privacy, terms), all last updated August 28, 2026; no blog, news, documentation, case-study, pricing or government page; the homepage has no social share image.Source
  • 13

    Orca's homepage argues that operations staffing can't keep pace with launch schedules, and Orbital plans to go from 10 satellites in 2029 to 1,000 in 2031. That is a number an operator's finance team can model, but the site states the problem only in words.

    Medium impactMedium effort First result in 2 months CEO

    First action

    Write the formula and three sample fleets on one sheet.

    How to measure it

    Calculator-to-briefing rate

    Now
    –
    Target
    10%
    By
    2 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Build the model

      Inputs, assumptions, headcount output.

      CEO 3 days

    2. 2

      Check assumptions

      With two operators' ops leads.

      CTO 1 week

    3. 3

      Build the page

      Static page, no login.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer 1 week

    4. 4

      Add the PDF

      Result with assumptions listed.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer 2 days

    5. 5

      Promote

      In LinkedIn updates and briefings.

      CEO ongoing

    6. 6

      Refine

      From real usage and feedback.

      CEO quarterly

    First result
    2 months
    Cost
    Staff time only
    Owner
    CEO

    Smallest test

    Share the spreadsheet version in two briefings.

    Why it works

    Build a simple calculator: fleet size, passes per day, expected conjunctions and anomalies, and minutes of human attention each. Show ground-team headcount needed with today's approach and with Orca handling routine maneuvers onboard, with clear, editable assumptions. Offer the result as a PDF for the buyer's business case.

    It turns a vision into a budget line, gives the champion a document to circulate, and captures fleet-size data with every use.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Numbers look like marketing

      Show every assumption and let users change it.

    Evidence

    • Your websiteHomepage (checked November 9, 2026): title "Orca Aerospace — Mission Control, Onboard"; sections "Space Is Scaling Faster Than The People Who Fly It", "Orca Lives Onboard" (Onboard, Gated, Independent) and "Put An Orca Onboard"; a "Request a briefing" button and an email link to the founders; "Backed by Y Combinator" and "Registered for U.S. government & defense contracts" with a CAGE code. No customer, partner, deal, news or social-media link appears.Source
    • PressPayload, November 5, 2026: a letter of intent with Orbital worth up to $20M (an integration fee plus a per-satellite license fee) for Orbital's planned data-center satellite fleet; Orca integrates once with the flight software of Orbital's bus partner, Reflex Aerospace; it starts in shadow mode, sending telemetry down for human review, then gains autonomy in layers; parts may be tested on Orbital's July 2027 Pathfinder and it is slated for Orbital-1 in 2028; Orbital plans 10 satellites in 2029, 100 in 2030 and 1,000 in 2031; Orca plans to keep its coordination protocols open to other operators.Source
  • 14

    Payload notes that data-center constellations target crowded dawn-dusk sun-synchronous orbits, where autonomy is needed for frequent collision-avoidance maneuvers. Orbital is one of several companies planning large fleets there; each faces the same staffing problem, and Orca's license grows with every satellite.

    High impactMedium effort First result in 1 quarter CEO

    First action

    List twenty constellations with public plans and their planned fleet sizes.

    How to measure it

    Large-fleet briefings

    Now
    –
    Target
    8
    By
    2 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Build the list

      Public filings and trade press.

      CEO 1 week

    2. 2

      Rank

      Fleet size, orbit, launch date.

      CEO 1 day

    3. 3

      Find the person

      Head of operations or GNC lead.

      CEO 1 week

    4. 4

      Write the opener

      Their orbit, the Orbital proof, the pilot.

      CEO 1 day

    5. 5

      Reach out

      Through founders' networks first.

      CEO ongoing

    6. 6

      Follow up

      With the safety case and calculator.

      CTO ongoing

    First result
    1 quarter
    Cost
    Founder time
    Owner
    CEO

    Smallest test

    Contact the top five on the list this month.

    Build the prospect list. The list compiled from public sources, verified, deduplicated and delivered to your CRM. Usually live within days.

    Book a working session

    Why it works

    Build a list of companies with announced or filed plans for large constellations, especially in sun-synchronous orbits, from public regulatory filings and trade press. Rank by planned fleet size and launch date, and approach each with the Orbital proof, the shadow-mode pilot and the ops calculator.

    The same problem, the same orbit and a reference customer make the conversation short; per-satellite pricing makes big fleets worth the founders' time.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Orbital sees rivals being courted

      Agree up front what exclusivity, if any, the deal implies.

    Builds on

    Evidence

    • PressPayload, November 5, 2026: a letter of intent with Orbital worth up to $20M (an integration fee plus a per-satellite license fee) for Orbital's planned data-center satellite fleet; Orca integrates once with the flight software of Orbital's bus partner, Reflex Aerospace; it starts in shadow mode, sending telemetry down for human review, then gains autonomy in layers; parts may be tested on Orbital's July 2027 Pathfinder and it is slated for Orbital-1 in 2028; Orbital plans 10 satellites in 2029, 100 in 2030 and 1,000 in 2031; Orca plans to keep its coordination protocols open to other operators.Source
    • Your websiteHomepage (checked November 9, 2026): title "Orca Aerospace — Mission Control, Onboard"; sections "Space Is Scaling Faster Than The People Who Fly It", "Orca Lives Onboard" (Onboard, Gated, Independent) and "Put An Orca Onboard"; a "Request a briefing" button and an email link to the founders; "Backed by Y Combinator" and "Registered for U.S. government & defense contracts" with a CAGE code. No customer, partner, deal, news or social-media link appears.Source
  • 15

    Orca integrates once per flight-software stack, and its first is Reflex Aerospace's, Orbital's bus partner. Every other operator buying the same bus could then get Orca with little new integration work, which makes the bus maker a sales channel, not just a supplier.

    High impactMedium effort First result in 2 quarters CEO

    First action

    Ask Reflex Aerospace how they describe software options to their customers.

    How to measure it

    Partner-referred briefings

    Now
    –
    Target
    4
    By
    3 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Map the value

      What Orca adds to the bus offering.

      CEO 2 days

    2. 2

      Propose terms

      Listing, joint note, referral share.

      CEO 1 week

    3. 3

      Write the joint note

      How Orca runs on the stack.

      CTO 2 weeks

    4. 4

      Train their sales team

      One short session.

      CEO 1 day

    5. 5

      Track referrals

      Shared pipeline sheet.

      CEO monthly

    6. 6

      Repeat

      With each new supported stack.

      CEO per integration

    First result
    2 quarters
    Cost
    Referral share on licenses
    Owner
    CEO

    Smallest test

    Ask for one introduction to another fleet on the same bus.

    Why it works

    Propose a co-marketing and referral agreement with Reflex Aerospace: Orca listed as an onboard autonomy option for its buses, a joint technical note, and a referral or resale share on licenses. Repeat with each new stack Orca supports.

    Bus makers are in the room early in every mission design, and an autonomy option makes their bus more attractive to operators facing staffing limits.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • The bus maker builds its own autonomy

      Position Orca as the safety-gated layer they would not want to certify alone.

    Builds on

    Evidence

    • PressPayload, November 5, 2026: a letter of intent with Orbital worth up to $20M (an integration fee plus a per-satellite license fee) for Orbital's planned data-center satellite fleet; Orca integrates once with the flight software of Orbital's bus partner, Reflex Aerospace; it starts in shadow mode, sending telemetry down for human review, then gains autonomy in layers; parts may be tested on Orbital's July 2027 Pathfinder and it is slated for Orbital-1 in 2028; Orbital plans 10 satellites in 2029, 100 in 2030 and 1,000 in 2031; Orca plans to keep its coordination protocols open to other operators.Source
    • HiringFounding Flight Software Engineer on Y Combinator: San Francisco or Remote (US), 0.25%–2.00% equity, 1+ years, US citizen/visa only, C++, Python and Linux; integrates the stack with flight software platforms customers already fly and tests against flight-representative targets; an onboard LLM decides what to do and a deterministic flight stack decides how.Source
  • 17

    Orca's revenue grows as customers move from shadow mode to autonomy in layers, and its rival In Orbit also plans to debut in shadow mode. Whoever makes shadow mode produce clear evidence fastest wins the expansion. Without a structured record, shadow mode can become a long, unpaid trial.

    High impactMedium effort First result in 1 quarter CTO

    First action

    Agree with Orbital what evidence would justify the first autonomy layer.

    How to measure it

    Weeks in shadow mode before first layer

    Now
    –
    Target
    Agreed in advance and met
    By
    first pilot

    Steps

    1. 1

      Agree criteria

      Evidence needed for each layer.

      CTO 1 week

    2. 2

      Define the report

      Decisions, comparison, denials, timing.

      CTO 3 days

    3. 3

      Automate it

      Generated from downlinked decisions.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer 1 month

    4. 4

      Send weekly

      To the customer's ops lead.

      CTO weekly

    5. 5

      Monthly review

      Progress against criteria.

      CEO monthly

    6. 6

      Promote layers

      Contract step-up when criteria are met.

      CEO per layer

    First result
    1 quarter after first integration
    Cost
    Engineering time
    Owner
    CTO

    Smallest test

    Produce one sample report from a simulated week.

    Why it works

    Generate a weekly report for each customer: decisions Orca would have taken, how they compare with the ground team's actions, guardrail denials, response times, and a running "ready for the next layer" checklist agreed at the start. Review it monthly with the customer's operations lead.

    It converts shadow mode into a measurable path to autonomy, and to more licensed satellites, with the evidence the customer's own safety board needs.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Reports expose early mistakes

      That is the point of shadow mode; show the fixes too.

    Builds on

    Evidence

    • PressPayload, November 5, 2026: a letter of intent with Orbital worth up to $20M (an integration fee plus a per-satellite license fee) for Orbital's planned data-center satellite fleet; Orca integrates once with the flight software of Orbital's bus partner, Reflex Aerospace; it starts in shadow mode, sending telemetry down for human review, then gains autonomy in layers; parts may be tested on Orbital's July 2027 Pathfinder and it is slated for Orbital-1 in 2028; Orbital plans 10 satellites in 2029, 100 in 2030 and 1,000 in 2031; Orca plans to keep its coordination protocols open to other operators.Source
    • Competitor researchIn Orbit Aerospace (Payload, October 14, 2026): INTELLACT onboard autonomy for spacecraft health, maneuvers and anomaly response; a NASA Phase I SBIR for swarms and a SpaceWERX Phase I STTR for LEO constellations, building on a $1.8M Phase II STTR; slated to debut in shadow mode on the AFRL/NASA HyperSTEP mission in 2027; pitches moving operators from "in the loop" to "on the loop".Source
  • 20

    Orbital's deal is an integration fee plus a per-satellite license fee, and Payload has already published that structure. The site says nothing about how Orca is priced, so a programme manager can't put it in next year's budget without a meeting.

    Medium impactLow effort First result in 1 month CEO

    First action

    Write the three-line licensing summary.

    How to measure it

    Briefings with a stated budget or timeline

    Now
    –
    Target
    50%
    By
    2 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Write the model

      Integration, per-satellite, pilot credit.

      CEO 1 hour

    2. 2

      Decide on ranges

      Structure only, or indicative tiers.

      CEO 1 day

    3. 3

      Check with Orbital

      Nothing that reveals its terms.

      CEO 2 days

    4. 4

      Publish

      Homepage section or /licensing.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer 2 hours

    5. 5

      Ask budget in briefings

      Add it to the request questions.

      CEO 30 minutes

    6. 6

      Review

      Pilot and license conversion.

      CEO quarterly

    First result
    1 month
    Cost
    $0
    Owner
    CEO

    Smallest test

    Add the three-line licensing summary to the homepage.

    Why it works

    Add a short "How Orca is licensed" section: a one-time integration per flight-software stack, a per-satellite license that scales with the fleet, and a paid shadow-mode pilot credited toward the license. Give ranges or volume tiers only if comfortable; the structure alone helps.

    Clear pricing structure lets champions start budget conversations early and filters out fleets that can't pay.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Anchoring negotiations

      Publish structure, not exact prices.

    Builds on

    Evidence

    • PressPayload, November 5, 2026: a letter of intent with Orbital worth up to $20M (an integration fee plus a per-satellite license fee) for Orbital's planned data-center satellite fleet; Orca integrates once with the flight software of Orbital's bus partner, Reflex Aerospace; it starts in shadow mode, sending telemetry down for human review, then gains autonomy in layers; parts may be tested on Orbital's July 2027 Pathfinder and it is slated for Orbital-1 in 2028; Orbital plans 10 satellites in 2029, 100 in 2030 and 1,000 in 2031; Orca plans to keep its coordination protocols open to other operators.Source
    • Your websiteSitemap: 5 URLs (home, founders, join, privacy, terms), all last updated August 28, 2026; no blog, news, documentation, case-study, pricing or government page; the homepage has no social share image.Source

Big bets 3

Larger plays that can change the trajectory.

  • 07

    Payload reports Orca plans to keep its coordination protocols open to other operators, and Orbital's CEO noted there is no central governing or mapping function in crowded orbits. If autonomous satellites from different operators need to agree who moves, the company whose protocol they speak sits at the centre of the market.

    High impactHigh effort First result in 2 quarters CTO

    First action

    Write the one-page problem statement and the three core messages.

    How to measure it

    Spec reviewers and adopters

    Now
    –
    Target
    3 operators
    By
    3 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Scope

      Intent sharing and maneuver agreement only.

      CTO 1 week

    2. 2

      Draft v0.1

      Messages, priorities, ground fall-back.

      CTO 1 month

    3. 3

      Reference code

      A small open implementation and simulator.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer 1 month

    4. 4

      Invite reviewers

      Orbital plus two other operators.

      CEO 1 month

    5. 5

      Publish

      Public repository and spec page.

      CTO 1 day

    6. 6

      Present

      At a space-traffic conference.

      CEO per event

    7. 7

      Govern

      Simple change process with reviewers.

      CTO quarterly

    First result
    2 quarters
    Cost
    Significant founder and engineering time
    Owner
    CTO

    Smallest test

    Publish the problem statement and ask operators for comments.

    Why it works

    Write and publish version 0.1 of a protocol for autonomous vehicles to share intent and agree on avoidance maneuvers: message formats, priority rules and fall-backs to the ground. Release a reference implementation, invite two other operators to review, and offer Orca as the easiest way to speak it.

    Open standards spread faster than products, and each adopter is a natural buyer of the onboard operator that implements it best.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Rivals adopt it without paying

      Open the protocol, license the onboard operator.

    Evidence

    • PressPayload, November 5, 2026: a letter of intent with Orbital worth up to $20M (an integration fee plus a per-satellite license fee) for Orbital's planned data-center satellite fleet; Orca integrates once with the flight software of Orbital's bus partner, Reflex Aerospace; it starts in shadow mode, sending telemetry down for human review, then gains autonomy in layers; parts may be tested on Orbital's July 2027 Pathfinder and it is slated for Orbital-1 in 2028; Orbital plans 10 satellites in 2029, 100 in 2030 and 1,000 in 2031; Orca plans to keep its coordination protocols open to other operators.Source
    • Competitor researchRivals' own homepages: Neuraspace, "Smart Autonomy for Space", with six product lines including STM & Ops and NeuraspaceDEF for operators, launch providers, defence agencies, insurers and regulators; Kayhan Space, "Making Spaceflight Safer", with Satcat and Dynamics for orbit estimation and simulation.Source
  • 18

    Until Orca flies in 2027-2028, its proof is architecture and a letter of intent. Rivals pitch autonomy too: Neuraspace calls itself "Smart Autonomy for Space" and In Orbit pitches moving operators "on the loop". A neutral, repeatable scenario set lets Orca show results before flight.

    High impactHigh effort First result in 2 quarters CTO

    First action

    Write five scenarios and the scoring rules.

    How to measure it

    Teams running the benchmark

    Now
    –
    Target
    5
    By
    3 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Write scenarios

      Five dense-orbit cases.

      CTO 2 weeks

    2. 2

      Define scoring

      Decision time, fuel, risk, denials.

      CTO 1 week

    3. 3

      Build the harness

      Open simulator setup.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer 1 month

    4. 4

      Run Orca

      And a scripted ground baseline.

      CTO 2 weeks

    5. 5

      Outside check

      An academic lab reviews the method.

      CTO 1 month

    6. 6

      Publish

      Results page and repository.

      CEO 1 day

    7. 7

      Invite others

      Open call at a conference.

      CEO per event

    First result
    2 quarters
    Cost
    Significant engineering time
    Owner
    CTO

    Smallest test

    Publish one scenario and Orca's result.

    Why it works

    Build a set of simulated dense-orbit scenarios (conjunctions, communication gaps, faults) with published rules and scoring: time to decision, fuel used, risk avoided, guardrail denials. Publish Orca's scores, how a scripted ground process would perform, and invite others to run the same scenarios.

    A benchmark creates the comparison buyers want and places Orca as the reference others are measured against.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Seen as rigged

      Publish the method and have a lab review it.

    Builds on

    Evidence

    • Competitor researchRivals' own homepages: Neuraspace, "Smart Autonomy for Space", with six product lines including STM & Ops and NeuraspaceDEF for operators, launch providers, defence agencies, insurers and regulators; Kayhan Space, "Making Spaceflight Safer", with Satcat and Dynamics for orbit estimation and simulation.Source
    • Competitor researchIn Orbit Aerospace (Payload, October 14, 2026): INTELLACT onboard autonomy for spacecraft health, maneuvers and anomaly response; a NASA Phase I SBIR for swarms and a SpaceWERX Phase I STTR for LEO constellations, building on a $1.8M Phase II STTR; slated to debut in shadow mode on the AFRL/NASA HyperSTEP mission in 2027; pitches moving operators from "in the loop" to "on the loop".Source
    • PressPayload, November 5, 2026: a letter of intent with Orbital worth up to $20M (an integration fee plus a per-satellite license fee) for Orbital's planned data-center satellite fleet; Orca integrates once with the flight software of Orbital's bus partner, Reflex Aerospace; it starts in shadow mode, sending telemetry down for human review, then gains autonomy in layers; parts may be tested on Orbital's July 2027 Pathfinder and it is slated for Orbital-1 in 2028; Orbital plans 10 satellites in 2029, 100 in 2030 and 1,000 in 2031; Orca plans to keep its coordination protocols open to other operators.Source
  • 21

    Payload reports the companies hope Orbital's orbiting data centers will provide compute for Orca's platform, letting other spacecraft connect through Orbital's satellites instead of the ground. That would let Orca serve vehicles too small to carry a full onboard operator.

    High impactHigh effort First result in 3 quarters CTO

    First action

    Write a two-page concept with Orbital's engineers.

    How to measure it

    Signed design partners

    Now
    –
    Target
    2
    By
    4 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Concept

      What runs onboard vs in orbit.

      CTO 2 weeks

    2. 2

      Safety boundary

      Kernel stays onboard every vehicle.

      CTO 1 week

    3. 3

      Joint study

      With Orbital's team.

      CEO 1 quarter

    4. 4

      Find a small-sat partner

      One operator with link constraints.

      CEO 1 month

    5. 5

      Prototype

      Simulated link and client.

      Founding Flight Software Engineer 1 quarter

    6. 6

      Price

      Per connected vehicle.

      CEO 1 week

    First result
    3 quarters
    Cost
    Significant engineering time
    Owner
    CTO

    Smallest test

    A two-page concept reviewed by one small-sat operator.

    Why it works

    Scope a "relay" tier: a thin onboard client with the safety kernel on small spacecraft, with heavier planning running on orbital compute and decisions still gated onboard. Price it per connected vehicle. Start with a design study with Orbital and one small-satellite operator.

    It widens the market from large buses to small satellites and ties Orca's growth to Orbital's fleet growth.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Depends on Orbital's timeline

      Keep it a study until Orbital's satellites fly.

    Builds on

    Evidence

    • PressPayload, November 5, 2026: a letter of intent with Orbital worth up to $20M (an integration fee plus a per-satellite license fee) for Orbital's planned data-center satellite fleet; Orca integrates once with the flight software of Orbital's bus partner, Reflex Aerospace; it starts in shadow mode, sending telemetry down for human review, then gains autonomy in layers; parts may be tested on Orbital's July 2027 Pathfinder and it is slated for Orbital-1 in 2028; Orbital plans 10 satellites in 2029, 100 in 2030 and 1,000 in 2031; Orca plans to keep its coordination protocols open to other operators.Source

Wildcards 1

Unexpected experiments, each with a cheap way to test it.

  • 19

    Neuraspace lists insurers among the customers of its space-safety products, a sign that insurers care about collision risk. Orca's product acts on that risk directly onboard, between passes, but insurers appear nowhere in Orca's story.

    Medium impactMedium effort First result in 2 quarters CEO

    First action

    Identify three underwriters active in low Earth orbit constellations.

    How to measure it

    Underwriter briefings

    Now
    –
    Target
    3
    By
    2 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Find underwriters

      Active in LEO constellations.

      CEO 1 week

    2. 2

      Prepare a brief

      Risk-focused version of the safety case.

      CTO 1 week

    3. 3

      Meet

      Ask what evidence they need.

      CEO 1 month

    4. 4

      Map evidence

      Add it to shadow-mode reports.

      CTO 2 weeks

    5. 5

      Co-author

      A short note if an insurer agrees.

      CEO 1 month

    6. 6

      Use in sales

      Premium framing in briefings.

      CEO ongoing

    First result
    2 quarters
    Cost
    Founder time
    Owner
    CEO

    Smallest test

    One conversation with one underwriter.

    Why it works

    Brief two or three space insurance underwriters on the gated architecture and shadow-mode evidence, and ask what data would let them treat Orca-equipped satellites differently. If any will, that becomes a reason for operators to buy and a co-authored note to publish.

    If an insurer recognises the risk reduction, Orca's price can be framed against premiums, a budget line that already exists.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Insurers see autonomy as new risk

      Lead with guardrails and shadow-mode evidence.

    Builds on

    Evidence

    • Competitor researchRivals' own homepages: Neuraspace, "Smart Autonomy for Space", with six product lines including STM & Ops and NeuraspaceDEF for operators, launch providers, defence agencies, insurers and regulators; Kayhan Space, "Making Spaceflight Safer", with Satcat and Dynamics for orbit estimation and simulation.Source
    • Your websiteHomepage (checked November 9, 2026): title "Orca Aerospace — Mission Control, Onboard"; sections "Space Is Scaling Faster Than The People Who Fly It", "Orca Lives Onboard" (Onboard, Gated, Independent) and "Put An Orca Onboard"; a "Request a briefing" button and an email link to the founders; "Backed by Y Combinator" and "Registered for U.S. government & defense contracts" with a CAGE code. No customer, partner, deal, news or social-media link appears.Source

03

How Programmable can help

Where an idea in this playbook is something Programmable builds or runs, it's listed here with what we'd do. Everything else is yours to run.

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Prospect lists1The list compiled from public sources, verified, deduplicated and delivered to your CRM.

A 30-minute session with the engineer who would build it, not a sales call. You leave with a plan whether or not you hire us.

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See every playbook and website review

Independent research. Programmable wrote this playbook from public sources, as they stood on November 10, 2026, and cites them throughout. Orca Aerospace did not commission, review or endorse it, and Programmable is not affiliated with Orca Aerospace. Company and product names are trademarks of their owners, used only to identify them. The ideas are suggestions and opinion, not professional, legal or financial advice, and not statements about how Orca Aerospace runs its business.

Something wrong, or do you represent Orca Aerospace? Email [email protected] and we will correct it or take it down.

30/60/90 roadmap

What to focus on in each month, and the ideas that carry it.

  1. Days 1 to 308 ideas

    Show the proof: homepage deal and adoption path, share image, news page, LinkedIn, a qualifying briefing request, the government page, the job post and the small site tidy.

  2. Days 31 to 6010 ideas

    Package the sale: shadow-mode pilot, compatibility page, safety case, SBIR/STTR pipeline, conference talks, the ops calculator, constellation outreach, the bus-partner channel, shadow-mode reports and the pricing model.

  3. Days 61 to 904 ideas

    Commit to the bigger bets: an open coordination protocol, a public benchmark, insurers, and autonomy served through orbital compute.

The research behind the plan

3 research areas, each summarised in a few lines. Open any of them for the full detail.

Customers

What customers say

Customers value collision avoidance without a large team of operators. The most cited problem: operations staffing can't keep pace with launch schedules.

  • One integration per flight-software stack, so every satellite follows the same rules
  • Anomalies wait for a pass and a human to notice them
  • In their words: “mission control, onboard”

Market

Competitive landscape

3 competitors compared: In Orbit Aerospace (INTELLACT), Neuraspace and Kayhan Space.

  • Gap to exploit: Onboard autonomy priced per satellite for constellations of hundreds to thousands
  • In Orbit Aerospace (INTELLACT): Recently pivoted from reentry vehicles; no announced commercial constellation customer
  • Neuraspace: Ground-based risk assessment and suggestions rather than onboard command

Hiring signals

Orca is hiring its first engineer beyond the founders: a Founding Flight Software Engineer to write and test the onboard operator stack in software- and hardware-in-the-loop and integrate it with the flight software…

  • Founding Flight Software Engineer: Integrating with flight software customers already fly, tested in the loop. Ideas 2, 3, 15, 16, 17.

From the team that wrote this playbook

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