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growth playbook · Nov 10, 2026

polymathlabs.ai (opens in a new tab)

Polymath growth playbook

Diagnosis

Polymath is a six-person YC Winter 2026 data lab, backed by more than $8M, that sells simulation environments to frontier model labs. Its strongest asset is Horizon-SWE, a benchmark where the best model passes only about one run in four.

But the website hides it: the homepage never mentions it, the results date from February, and the only way in is an email link. The site has seven URLs, no new blog post since February, and a careers page that lists three of the four open roles.

This playbook puts Horizon-SWE first and keeps it current, gives labs a real way to start a project, and publishes the failure-mode research the team is hiring for. Then it builds the expert-contributor supply, shows proof of data quality, and opens two new buyer groups: agent startups and enterprises choosing coding agents.

Growth Score

6/10

Biggest Opportunity

Make Horizon-SWE the public scoreboard for long-horizon software engineering. Rerun it on each new model, so every release is a reason for labs to look at Polymath.

Biggest Risk

Labs build environments in-house, and better-known vendors (Mechanize, Halluminate, Applied Intuition) compete for the same budgets. A six-person team with one public benchmark and a quiet website can be overlooked.

01

Start here

The three moves to make first. Each one is written up in full below.

  1. 1

    Put Horizon-SWE on the homepage and turn the February results into a living leaderboard

    Add a Horizon-SWE line and link to the homepage today, pointing to the existing post.

    High impact First result in 1 month
  2. 2

    Replace the email-only contact with a short "Request an environment" page

    Write the five questions and a two-day reply promise.

    High impact First result in 1 month
  3. 3

    Publish an environments page: what a lab can buy today

    Draft the software-company spec card from the two existing posts.

    High impact First result in 1 month

02

Your idea portfolio

22 ideas, grouped by when to run them. Open any idea for how to run it: the steps, who to approach, copy you can use, and how to measure it.

  • 8 ideas are marked Unexpected: plays you are unlikely to have tried.

Every idea placed by the effort it takes against the impact it could have. Quick wins sit top left; select a number to open that idea. The filters below narrow the list by status, timing, category and what Programmable can build.

Effort vs impactEach number is an idea. Select one to open it.
Impact →
Quick wins · 3Big bets · 10Fill-ins · 4Reconsider · 5
Effort →

Showing 22 of 22 ideas

This week 6

Quick wins with a clear first action.

  • 01

    Horizon-SWE is Polymath's only public proof. In it, the best of eight frontier models passes 25.5% of runs, and YC's launch post leads with "around 25%". Yet the homepage never mentions it or links to it. The results are a blog table last updated on February 6, 2026, with no leaderboard, dataset or repository. Every model released since then is a news moment Polymath currently misses.

    High impactMedium effort First result in 1 month Member of Technical Staff Res…

    First action

    Add a Horizon-SWE line and link to the homepage today, pointing to the existing post.

    How to measure it

    Qualified lab inquiries citing Horizon-SWE

    Now
    –
    Target
    5 a quarter
    By
    90 days

    Steps

    1. 1

      Link it today

      Homepage line and link to the February post.

      Founder & CEO 1 hour

    2. 2

      Build the page

      /horizon-swe with method, task types, grading and a sortable table.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 1 week

    3. 3

      Rerun current models

      Add models released since February, same harness and seeds.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 1 week

    4. 4

      Date every row

      Run date, harness version and error bars on each result.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 1 day

    5. 5

      Add the ask

      Evaluate-or-train call to action linking to the request page.

      Founder & CEO 1 hour

    6. 6

      Set a rerun rule

      Rerun within two weeks of each major release.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research ongoing

    7. 7

      Track

      Page visits, referring domains and inquiries that mention it.

      Founder & CEO monthly

    First result
    1 month
    Cost
    Engineering time plus inference cost for reruns
    Owner
    Member of Technical Staff Research

    Smallest test

    Add the homepage link today, then rerun one new model and post it.

    Why it works

    Add a Horizon-SWE block above the fold: one line on what it measures (a simulated software company with 73 tools, 50 tasks and live traffic), the headline result, and links to a dedicated /horizon-swe page. On that page, publish a sortable leaderboard covering pass/fail and partial credit, with error bars, run date and harness. Rerun it within two weeks of each major model release. End the page with "Want your model or agent evaluated, or trained on environments like this?" and a link to the project-request page (idea 2).

    Labs "do not swap out evals casually", so the benchmark people already check is the one they adopt and buy around. A current leaderboard gives researchers a reason to cite it, the team a reason to post, and buyers a concrete picture of what Polymath builds.

    Ready to use

    ChecklistHorizon-SWE leaderboard launch list

    [ ] Homepage block: what it measures, headline result, link
    [ ] /horizon-swe page in the sitemap
    [ ] Pass/fail and partial-credit tables with error bars
    [ ] Run date and harness version per row
    [ ] Models released since February rerun
    [ ] Evaluate-or-train call to action
    [ ] Rerun rule: within two weeks of a major release
    [ ] Citation snippet for researchers

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Publishing scores invites contamination of the test set

      Keep the task set private and publish only scores and method (idea 8 adds a separate public sample).

    • A customer lab dislikes a public ranking

      Run only public models through public APIs, and give advance notice before posting.

    Evidence

    • Your websiteHorizon-SWE post (published February 2, 2026, updated February 6): a containerized software company with a running app, live synthetic traffic and 73 tools over MCP, a monorepo with 20,000+ human-authored commits, and 50 tasks such as multi-service rollouts, incident response, API migrations and flaky-test fixes; graded on feature correctness, deployment and DevOps, and engineering quality; eight frontier models run in the OpenHands harness, with a best pass rate of 25.5% and a best partial-credit score of 60.4; "even the strongest models complete only about one in four runs successfully end-to-end". A case study shows a deployment failing on a missing database migration. No leaderboard, dataset or repository is linked.Source
    • Your websiteHomepage (checked November 9, 2026): headline "Simulation environments for training & evaluating autonomous agents"; "Polymath is a data lab focused on increasing the reliability and autonomy of AI agents"; says it works with the leading model labs and is backed by Base10, Cervin Ventures and Y Combinator; sections for Applications & Services, Data, Tasks, Verifiers and Agent(s). It does not mention or link Horizon-SWE or any result, and the only contact is a "Get in touch" email link, shown three times; no form, booking link or newsletter.Source
    • Y CombinatorLaunch post: Polymath sells to frontier AI labs that want to acquire training environments; agents practice on work that could take humans days; "Leading models score around 25% on the benchmark"; the only ask is an email to the founders.Source
    • PressStartupHub.ai profile of Polymath (June 2026): "Polymath is selling the gym equipment, not just the scoreboard"; names Applied Intuition and labs' internal teams as competition; "Labs do not swap out evals casually."Source
    • Competitor researchMechanize's homepage: training environments and evals for frontier coding agents, with a public benchmark, GBA Eval, on its own site (gbaeval.com) showing model results, plus an apply page and pages about its interview process.Source
  • 02

    Every call to action on the homepage, the posts and the YC launch is the same founders' email address. A lab researcher who wants to scope a project has to write a cold email from scratch, and Polymath learns nothing about the request until a reply thread begins.

    High impactLow effort First result in 1 month Founder & CEO

    First action

    Write the five questions and a two-day reply promise.

    How to measure it

    Request-page submissions from labs

    Now
    –
    Target
    4 a month
    By
    60 days

    Steps

    1. 1

      Write the questions

      Domain, train or eval, horizon, tools, volume.

      Founder & CEO 1 hour

    2. 2

      Build the page

      Simple form plus the email fallback.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 1 day

    3. 3

      Route

      To the founders' inbox with a tag per domain.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 2 hours

    4. 4

      Link everywhere

      Homepage, Horizon-SWE page, posts, YC profile.

      Founder & CEO 2 hours

    5. 5

      Reply fast

      Two business days, with a scoping call slot.

      Founder & CEO ongoing

    6. 6

      Review answers

      Monthly tally of domains and tools requested.

      Strategic Projects Lead monthly

    First result
    1 month
    Cost
    $0 beyond a day of engineering
    Owner
    Founder & CEO

    Smallest test

    Add a five-question form below the homepage call to action.

    Why it works

    Add /request with five questions: domain, training or evaluation, horizon length, tools the environment must include, and rough volume and timing. Keep the email as a fallback. Route submissions to the founders with a two-business-day reply target. Link the page from the homepage, the Horizon-SWE page and every post.

    Structured requests are easier to send and easier to scope, and the answers show which domains and tools labs actually ask for, which feeds ideas 3 and 18.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Labs prefer not to put needs in a form

      Keep every field optional and the email visible.

    Evidence

    • Your websiteHomepage (checked November 9, 2026): headline "Simulation environments for training & evaluating autonomous agents"; "Polymath is a data lab focused on increasing the reliability and autonomy of AI agents"; says it works with the leading model labs and is backed by Base10, Cervin Ventures and Y Combinator; sections for Applications & Services, Data, Tasks, Verifiers and Agent(s). It does not mention or link Horizon-SWE or any result, and the only contact is a "Get in touch" email link, shown three times; no form, booking link or newsletter.Source
    • Y CombinatorLaunch post: Polymath sells to frontier AI labs that want to acquire training environments; agents practice on work that could take humans days; "Leading models score around 25% on the benchmark"; the only ask is an email to the founders.Source
    • Your websiteSitemap (7 URLs, checked November 9, 2026): the homepage, /blog, /careers, /privacy, /terms and two posts (/introducing-polymath and /blog/horizon-swe); no environment, benchmark, research, security or contributor pages, and no lastmod dates.Source
  • 03

    The homepage names five abstract layers (Applications & Services, Data, Tasks, Verifiers, Agent(s)). The concrete detail a buyer needs is buried in two blog posts: 73 tools, a 20,000-commit monorepo, live traffic, Slack, Sentry, Linear and GCP, CI/CD and deployment. The headline also dropped "in any domain", so buyers can't tell what is available now.

    High impactLow effort First result in 1 month Founder & CTO

    First action

    Draft the software-company spec card from the two existing posts.

    How to measure it

    Share of requests naming an environment

    Now
    –
    Target
    50%
    By
    90 days

    Steps

    1. 1

      Pull the specs

      Tools, repo, traffic, tasks and grading from both posts.

      Founder & CTO 2 hours

    2. 2

      Write the card

      One page per environment, same fields each time.

      Founder & CTO 1 day

    3. 3

      Add custom builds

      How scoping, verifiers and delivery work.

      Strategic Projects Lead 1 day

    4. 4

      Publish

      /environments in the nav and the sitemap.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 1 day

    5. 5

      Link proof

      To the Horizon-SWE page and the request page.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 1 hour

    6. 6

      Update

      A new card for each environment shipped.

      Founder & CTO ongoing

    First result
    1 month
    Cost
    Staff time only
    Owner
    Founder & CTO

    Smallest test

    Publish the software-company card alone.

    Why it works

    Create /environments with one spec card per environment, starting with the simulated software company: tools and services included, task types, horizon length, verifier types, how runs are isolated, and delivery formats. Add a "custom builds" section explaining how a new environment is scoped. Link the card to Horizon-SWE as proof.

    A spec sheet lets a lab researcher forward Polymath internally without a call, and it turns blog detail into a page that search and AI assistants can quote.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Revealing a customer's custom environment

      Only list environments Polymath owns and has already described publicly.

    Evidence

    • Your websiteHomepage (checked November 9, 2026): headline "Simulation environments for training & evaluating autonomous agents"; "Polymath is a data lab focused on increasing the reliability and autonomy of AI agents"; says it works with the leading model labs and is backed by Base10, Cervin Ventures and Y Combinator; sections for Applications & Services, Data, Tasks, Verifiers and Agent(s). It does not mention or link Horizon-SWE or any result, and the only contact is a "Get in touch" email link, shown three times; no form, booking link or newsletter.Source
    • Your website"Towards Greater Reliability and Autonomy in Software Engineering Agents" (January 10, 2026): Polymath works with frontier AI labs to customize and scale environments that simulate production systems, covering deployment, CI/CD and coordination tools such as Slack, Sentry, Linear and GCP; "RL on bad data only degrades model performance"; "The most difficult engineering problems live at the seams".Source
    • Your websitePositioning change: earlier in 2026 the headline was "We build the most advanced environments for training and evaluating AI agents on long-horizon, multi-tool tasks in any domain"; it is now "Simulation environments for training & evaluating autonomous agents".Source
    • Your websiteSitemap (7 URLs, checked November 9, 2026): the homepage, /blog, /careers, /privacy, /terms and two posts (/introducing-polymath and /blog/horizon-swe); no environment, benchmark, research, security or contributor pages, and no lastmod dates.Source
  • 04

    Ashby shows four open roles, but polymathlabs.ai/careers lists three: the remote contract Software Engineer role, which builds environments, tasks and verifiers, is missing. YC's jobs list shows only two. The careers page also never says what Polymath does or who it works with, which the Ashby posts explain well.

    Medium impactLow effort First result in 2 weeks Strategic Projects Lead

    First action

    Add the contract Software Engineer role to /careers.

    How to measure it

    Qualified applicants a month

    Now
    –
    Target
    +50%
    By
    60 days

    Steps

    1. 1

      Add the missing role

      Contract Software Engineer, remote.

      Strategic Projects Lead 1 hour

    2. 2

      Link to Ashby

      Each role goes to its posting.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 1 hour

    3. 3

      Write the intro

      What Polymath builds, funding, who it serves.

      Founder & CEO 2 hours

    4. 4

      Add proof

      Links to Horizon-SWE and the two posts.

      Strategic Projects Lead 1 hour

    5. 5

      Sync YC

      All four roles on the YC jobs list.

      Strategic Projects Lead 1 hour

    6. 6

      Review monthly

      Keep the three lists identical.

      Strategic Projects Lead monthly

    First result
    2 weeks
    Cost
    $0
    Owner
    Strategic Projects Lead

    Smallest test

    Add the missing role today and count applications in two weeks.

    Why it works

    Add the contract role to /careers, link each role to its Ashby post, and add a short intro: what Polymath builds, the more than $8M raised from named investors, working with leading model labs, and links to Horizon-SWE and the posts. Sync the YC jobs list. Consider moving the old April posts to a dated "still open" status, so candidates know they are live.

    For a six-person team, every hire is a growth lever. The contract role is the most flexible way to add environment-building capacity, and remote engineers who find it through search or YC can't see it today.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • More unqualified applicants

      State the bar and the take-home up front.

    Evidence

    • Your websiteCareers page: three roles (Member of Technical Staff - Research and - Engineering at $150k-$300k plus equity; Strategic Projects Lead at $150k-$250k plus equity) and a hiring email; no description of the company or its work, and no listing for the contract Software Engineer role that is open on the Ashby board, which has four roles.Source
    • HiringSoftware Engineer (contract, remote, posted April 14, 2026): builds high-fidelity environments, long-horizon tasks and robust verifiers, and turns research failure modes into new benchmarks. The postings say Polymath has raised more than $8M from Base10, Cervin Ventures, Founders Future, Y Combinator and angels, and works with the world's leading model labs.Source
    • Y CombinatorCompany profile: Winter 2026 batch, team size 6, San Francisco; a data lab building RL environments to improve long-horizon agent performance, including for recursive self-improvement and long-horizon software engineering; the YC jobs list shows two roles.Source
  • 05

    Real visitors already pass Core Web Vitals (LCP 1.2 s), so speed is not a crisis. But the lab mobile score is 66: about 355 KB of the 829 KB of JavaScript is unused, one analytics script makes 34 requests, and some buttons have no accessible name. These are small fixes for a site that technical buyers inspect.

    Low impactLow effort First result in 1 week Member of Technical Staff Eng…

    First action

    Add aria-labels to the unnamed buttons.

    How to measure it

    PageSpeed mobile score

    Now
    –
    Target
    85+
    By
    30 days

    Steps

    1. 1

      Name the buttons

      aria-labels on icon buttons.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 1 hour

    2. 2

      Defer analytics

      Load after first paint.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 1 hour

    3. 3

      Trim the bundle

      Remove unused JS and CSS from the homepage.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering half a day

    4. 4

      Cache assets

      Longer cache lifetimes for static files.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 1 hour

    5. 5

      Recheck

      PageSpeed and field data.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 1 hour

    6. 6

      Keep it

      Recheck after each homepage change.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering ongoing

    First result
    1 week
    Cost
    $0
    Owner
    Member of Technical Staff Engineering

    Smallest test

    Fix the button names and rerun PageSpeed.

    Why it works

    Add accessible names to the icon buttons, drop unused JavaScript and CSS from the homepage bundle, and load analytics after first paint. Recheck PageSpeed afterwards. Don't spend more than a day: the field data is already good.

    Engineers at labs judge a technical vendor by its craft. A clean audit costs a day and removes an easy criticism.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Deferring analytics drops some events

      Compare event counts for a week.

    Evidence

    • PageSpeedGoogle PageSpeed (November 9, 2026): real visitors pass Core Web Vitals (LCP 1.2 s, INP 164 ms, CLS 0). Lab mobile score 66 (desktop 88), with 1.3 s of blocking time, 829 KB of JavaScript (about 355 KB unused), an analytics script at 430 KB over 34 requests, and one accessibility issue: "Buttons do not have an accessible name".Source
  • 06

    Polymath has accounts on X and LinkedIn, but the blog has had nothing new since February 2 and has no newsletter or RSS. The benchmark already contains shareable stories, such as an agent that wrote correct code but failed deployment on a missing database migration.

    Medium impactLow effort First result in 2 weeks Founder & CEO

    First action

    Write a thread on the missing-migration case study.

    How to measure it

    Social referrals to /horizon-swe

    Now
    –
    Target
    1,000 a month
    By
    90 days

    Steps

    1. 1

      Write the first thread

      The missing-migration case study.

      Founder & CEO 2 hours

    2. 2

      Add RSS

      Feed for the blog.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 1 hour

    3. 3

      Add signup

      One email field on the blog and leaderboard.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 2 hours

    4. 4

      Thread each rerun

      Score, one failure, one link.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research per rerun

    5. 5

      Cross-post

      LinkedIn version for buyers.

      Founder & CEO per rerun

    6. 6

      Measure

      Referrals and signups.

      Founder & CEO monthly

    First result
    2 weeks
    Cost
    Staff time only
    Owner
    Founder & CEO

    Smallest test

    Post the migration story and measure clicks.

    Why it works

    For each rerun (idea 1), post a short thread: the new score, one surprising failure with a screenshot or log excerpt, and a link to the leaderboard. Add an RSS feed and a simple email signup to the blog so researchers can follow results.

    Concrete failures spread further among researchers than score tables do, and each post sends people back to the leaderboard and the request page.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Posts read as attacks on a model

      Frame failures as hard problems, not as one vendor's weakness.

    Builds on

    Evidence

    • Your websiteBlog: two posts, dated January 10 and February 2, 2026, and nothing since; no newsletter signup or RSS feed.Source
    • Your websiteHorizon-SWE post (published February 2, 2026, updated February 6): a containerized software company with a running app, live synthetic traffic and 73 tools over MCP, a monorepo with 20,000+ human-authored commits, and 50 tasks such as multi-service rollouts, incident response, API migrations and flaky-test fixes; graded on feature correctness, deployment and DevOps, and engineering quality; eight frontier models run in the OpenHands harness, with a best pass rate of 25.5% and a best partial-credit score of 60.4; "even the strongest models complete only about one in four runs successfully end-to-end". A case study shows a deployment failing on a missing database migration. No leaderboard, dataset or repository is linked.Source

This quarter 9

The core plays for the next three months.

  • 07

    The research role exists to investigate frontier-model failure modes and publish research, and the contract role turns those failures into new benchmarks. Polymath's thesis is that the hardest problems "live at the seams". Yet only two posts have been published, both in January and February.

    High impactMedium effort First result in 1 month Member of Technical Staff Res…

    First action

    List the top five failure classes from Horizon-SWE runs.

    How to measure it

    Inquiries citing a research note

    Now
    –
    Target
    3 a quarter
    By
    2 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Rank failure classes

      From existing run logs.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 2 days

    2. 2

      Pick a format

      Rate, trace, environment fix, one chart.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 1 day

    3. 3

      Write the first note

      Missing migrations.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 1 week

    4. 4

      Review

      Remove anything customer-specific.

      Founder & CTO 1 day

    5. 5

      Publish and post

      Blog, X, LinkedIn, signup email.

      Founder & CEO 1 day

    6. 6

      Feed the backlog

      Each note becomes a task family.

      Software Engineer (Contract) monthly

    First result
    1 month
    Cost
    About two days a month of research time
    Owner
    Member of Technical Staff Research

    Smallest test

    Publish one note and track replies.

    Why it works

    Publish one short note a month on a single failure class: missing migrations, rollbacks, flaky tests, cross-service config, incident triage. Each note shows how often it occurs, an anonymized trace, and the kind of environment and verifier that trains it out. End each note with a link to the request page.

    Lab researchers buy from people who understand their models' gaps better than they do. A steady series makes Polymath the reference on long-horizon failures and gives sales a reason to reach out.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Giving away what customers pay for

      Publish the diagnosis, keep the environments and tasks private.

    Evidence

    • HiringMember of Technical Staff - Research (San Francisco, posted April 14, 2026): long-horizon evaluation, agent post-training and environment design focused on where current models fail, including investigating frontier-model failure modes, building benchmarks for complex tool-use tasks and publishing research.Source
    • HiringSoftware Engineer (contract, remote, posted April 14, 2026): builds high-fidelity environments, long-horizon tasks and robust verifiers, and turns research failure modes into new benchmarks. The postings say Polymath has raised more than $8M from Base10, Cervin Ventures, Founders Future, Y Combinator and angels, and works with the world's leading model labs.Source
    • Your website"Towards Greater Reliability and Autonomy in Software Engineering Agents" (January 10, 2026): Polymath works with frontier AI labs to customize and scale environments that simulate production systems, covering deployment, CI/CD and coordination tools such as Slack, Sentry, Linear and GCP; "RL on bad data only degrades model performance"; "The most difficult engineering problems live at the seams".Source
    • Your websiteBlog: two posts, dated January 10 and February 2, 2026, and nothing since; no newsletter signup or RSS feed.Source
  • 08

    Horizon-SWE links no dataset or repository. Researchers can read the results, but they can't reproduce one task or run their own agent, so they can't cite it in their work. Mechanize publishes its benchmark on its own site.

    High impactMedium effort First result in 2 months Member of Technical Staff Res…

    First action

    Pick five tasks that can't leak the held-out set.

    How to measure it

    Teams running the public sample

    Now
    –
    Target
    50
    By
    2 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Choose tasks

      Five representative, non-leaking tasks.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 2 days

    2. 2

      Slim the container

      Runs on one machine.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 2 weeks

    3. 3

      Ship verifiers

      Same grading as the full set.

      Software Engineer (Contract) 1 week

    4. 4

      Write the README

      One-command run and a citation block.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 2 days

    5. 5

      Publish

      Public repository linked from /horizon-swe.

      Founder & CTO 1 day

    6. 6

      Track

      Clones, issues, citations, inquiries.

      Founder & CEO monthly

    First result
    2 months
    Cost
    About three weeks of engineering
    Owner
    Member of Technical Staff Research

    Smallest test

    Release one task and see who runs it.

    Why it works

    Package five of the 50 task types as a public sample: a slimmed container of the simulated company, the tasks, the verifiers, and a one-command run script for the harness already used. State clearly that the leaderboard uses the private held-out set. Ask users to cite Horizon-SWE and link to the request page for the full environments.

    A runnable sample is the cheapest proof that the environment is real and hard, and every paper or agent team that uses it becomes a warm lead and a citation.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Labs train on the public sample

      Keep it small and separate from the scored set, and say so.

    Builds on

    Evidence

    • Your websiteHorizon-SWE post (published February 2, 2026, updated February 6): a containerized software company with a running app, live synthetic traffic and 73 tools over MCP, a monorepo with 20,000+ human-authored commits, and 50 tasks such as multi-service rollouts, incident response, API migrations and flaky-test fixes; graded on feature correctness, deployment and DevOps, and engineering quality; eight frontier models run in the OpenHands harness, with a best pass rate of 25.5% and a best partial-credit score of 60.4; "even the strongest models complete only about one in four runs successfully end-to-end". A case study shows a deployment failing on a missing database migration. No leaderboard, dataset or repository is linked.Source
    • Competitor researchMechanize's homepage: training environments and evals for frontier coding agents, with a public benchmark, GBA Eval, on its own site (gbaeval.com) showing model results, plus an apply page and pages about its interview process.Source
  • 09

    Horizon-SWE runs agents in the OpenHands harness. Agent builders pick evals from what their harness supports out of the box, and a benchmark that ships with the harness gets run without anyone visiting Polymath's site.

    Medium impactMedium effort First result in 1 quarter Founder & CTO

    First action

    Read the harness's contribution guidelines for new benchmarks.

    How to measure it

    Integrations accepted

    Now
    –
    Target
    2
    By
    2 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Read the rules

      Each project's benchmark contribution process.

      Founder & CTO 1 day

    2. 2

      Build the adapter

      Wrap the public sample.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 1 week

    3. 3

      Write docs

      With a link to the leaderboard.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 2 days

    4. 4

      Open the contribution

      Follow maintainers' review.

      Founder & CTO 2 weeks

    5. 5

      Announce

      Thread and blog note.

      Founder & CEO 1 day

    6. 6

      Maintain

      Fix issues fast.

      Software Engineer (Contract) ongoing

    First result
    1 quarter
    Cost
    About two weeks of engineering
    Owner
    Founder & CTO

    Smallest test

    Ask the maintainers whether they accept new long-horizon evals.

    Why it works

    Once the public sample exists (idea 8), contribute an integration to the harness project following its contribution process, with docs that point back to the full leaderboard. Offer the same integration to other open agent frameworks that the team's users ask about.

    It puts Horizon-SWE in front of the people who build agents every day, at no ad cost, and every run produces a comparable score.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Maintainers decline

      Ship it as a separate plugin with clear docs.

    Builds on

    Evidence

    • Your websiteHorizon-SWE post (published February 2, 2026, updated February 6): a containerized software company with a running app, live synthetic traffic and 73 tools over MCP, a monorepo with 20,000+ human-authored commits, and 50 tasks such as multi-service rollouts, incident response, API migrations and flaky-test fixes; graded on feature correctness, deployment and DevOps, and engineering quality; eight frontier models run in the OpenHands harness, with a best pass rate of 25.5% and a best partial-credit score of 60.4; "even the strongest models complete only about one in four runs successfully end-to-end". A case study shows a deployment failing on a missing database migration. No leaderboard, dataset or repository is linked.Source
  • 10

    Polymath sells to frontier labs that "want to acquire training environments" and customizes and scales them per lab, but nothing on the site explains how an engagement works. The Strategic Projects Lead is hired to run zero-to-one data projects from scoping through data quality, and frontier-lab data sales experience is a plus.

    High impactLow effort First result in 1 quarter Strategic Projects Lead

    First action

    Write one paragraph per offer from past proposals.

    How to measure it

    Recurring task-subscription revenue

    Now
    –
    Target
    30% of bookings
    By
    2 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Review past deals

      What labs actually bought.

      Founder & CEO 2 days

    2. 2

      Define offers

      Scope, timeline, deliverable each.

      Strategic Projects Lead 1 week

    3. 3

      Proposal template

      One template, three options.

      Strategic Projects Lead 2 days

    4. 4

      Publish the page

      How we work, no prices.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 1 day

    5. 5

      Use in deals

      Every new proposal.

      Founder & CEO ongoing

    6. 6

      Review the mix

      Recurring vs one-off each quarter.

      Strategic Projects Lead quarterly

    First result
    1 quarter
    Cost
    Staff time only
    Owner
    Strategic Projects Lead

    Smallest test

    Use the three-option template in the next proposal.

    Why it works

    Define three offers, each with a typical scope, timeline and deliverable: (1) evaluation access to existing environments; (2) a custom environment built to a lab's spec, with verifiers; (3) a monthly subscription of fresh tasks in an agreed domain. Publish an "How we work" page without prices, and use the same three in every proposal.

    Named packages shorten scoping, make proposals comparable, and push the business toward recurring revenue rather than one-off builds.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Packages feel rigid to large labs

      Present them as starting points.

    Evidence

    • Y CombinatorLaunch post: Polymath sells to frontier AI labs that want to acquire training environments; agents practice on work that could take humans days; "Leading models score around 25% on the benchmark"; the only ask is an email to the founders.Source
    • HiringStrategic Projects Lead (San Francisco, posted April 5, 2026): partnerships, data and new market expansion; best practices for organizing domain-expert teams; scaling the expert contributor network (sourcing, evaluating, onboarding and managing experts); leading zero-to-one data projects from scoping and PRDs through data quality; experience with RL environments and frontier-lab data sales is a plus.Source
    • Your website"Towards Greater Reliability and Autonomy in Software Engineering Agents" (January 10, 2026): Polymath works with frontier AI labs to customize and scale environments that simulate production systems, covering deployment, CI/CD and coordination tools such as Slack, Sentry, Linear and GCP; "RL on bad data only degrades model performance"; "The most difficult engineering problems live at the seams".Source
  • 11

    Polymath is hiring to scale an expert contributor network (sourcing, evaluating, onboarding, managing) and to build platforms that let contributors create RL environments. But the site has no contributor page, so experienced engineers can't find or apply to the program. Halluminate lists its Expert Network on its homepage.

    High impactMedium effort First result in 1 month Strategic Projects Lead

    First action

    Write the contributor profile and the application questions.

    How to measure it

    New accepted contributors

    Now
    –
    Target
    20 a month
    By
    2 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Define profiles

      Roles, skills and domains needed.

      Strategic Projects Lead 2 days

    2. 2

      Write the page

      Work, pay model, bar, process.

      Strategic Projects Lead 3 days

    3. 3

      Build the application

      Short form plus a sample task.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 1 week

    4. 4

      Set the screen

      Scored sample task review.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 1 week

    5. 5

      Promote

      Careers page, notes, engineering communities.

      Strategic Projects Lead ongoing

    6. 6

      Track quality

      Task acceptance rate by contributor.

      Strategic Projects Lead monthly

    First result
    1 month
    Cost
    Staff time plus contributor pay
    Owner
    Strategic Projects Lead

    Smallest test

    Post the page and count qualified applicants for two weeks.

    Why it works

    Publish /contributors: who Polymath looks for (senior engineers, SREs, domain experts), what the work is (tasks, verifiers, environments), how pay and time commitment work, the quality bar, and a short application. Link it from the careers page and every research note.

    Supply of expert task builders limits how fast a data lab can grow, and a visible program also signals to labs that Polymath can scale with quality.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Too many weak applicants

      A paid sample task as the first screen.

    Evidence

    • HiringStrategic Projects Lead (San Francisco, posted April 5, 2026): partnerships, data and new market expansion; best practices for organizing domain-expert teams; scaling the expert contributor network (sourcing, evaluating, onboarding and managing experts); leading zero-to-one data projects from scoping and PRDs through data quality; experience with RL environments and frontier-lab data sales is a plus.Source
    • HiringMember of Technical Staff - Engineering (San Francisco, posted April 14, 2026): builds the systems behind the RL and contributor platforms, including platforms that let contributors create RL environments, QA agents for data quality, and tooling to speed up environment and task creation.Source
    • Your websiteSitemap (7 URLs, checked November 9, 2026): the homepage, /blog, /careers, /privacy, /terms and two posts (/introducing-polymath and /blog/horizon-swe); no environment, benchmark, research, security or contributor pages, and no lastmod dates.Source
    • Competitor researchHalluminate's homepage: "a data research lab building benchmarks and RL environments to push the frontier of AI in knowledge work", starting with financial services and consulting; lists an Expert Network; published the Westworld Finance Diligence Bench (August 11, 2026, 88 problems); contact by email only.Source
  • 12

    Polymath's own pitch is that "RL on bad data only degrades model performance", and it is building QA agents for data quality and "robust verifiers". Labs can't see that quality today. Nothing on the site or in deliveries, as far as is public, shows how often verifiers pass wrong answers or whether a human can solve each task.

    High impactMedium effort First result in 1 quarter Member of Technical Staff Eng…

    First action

    Define the five quality numbers and compute them for the last batch.

    How to measure it

    Renewals and expansions citing the report

    Now
    –
    Target
    Every renewal
    By
    2 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Pick the numbers

      Solvability, false-pass, false-fail, leakage, difficulty.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 2 days

    2. 2

      Automate

      QA agents compute them per batch.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 3 weeks

    3. 3

      Human checks

      Expert sample solves.

      Strategic Projects Lead per batch

    4. 4

      Design the report

      One page, one chart per number.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 3 days

    5. 5

      Publish an example

      Anonymized, on the environments page.

      Founder & CEO 1 day

    6. 6

      Contract it

      Quality thresholds in every agreement.

      Founder & CEO ongoing

    First result
    1 quarter
    Cost
    About a month of engineering
    Owner
    Member of Technical Staff Engineering

    Smallest test

    Run the report on one past batch.

    Why it works

    Generate a standard report for every task batch: the share of tasks solved by a human expert, the verifier false-pass and false-fail rates on seeded solutions, duplicate and leakage checks, and the difficulty spread. Publish an anonymized example report on the site and make the live report part of every contract.

    Quality is the one thing a lab can't check quickly by itself. Measuring it turns Polymath's core claim into evidence, and it raises the bar for rivals.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Numbers look worse than expected

      Fix before publishing; the report drives internal quality too.

    Evidence

    • Your website"Towards Greater Reliability and Autonomy in Software Engineering Agents" (January 10, 2026): Polymath works with frontier AI labs to customize and scale environments that simulate production systems, covering deployment, CI/CD and coordination tools such as Slack, Sentry, Linear and GCP; "RL on bad data only degrades model performance"; "The most difficult engineering problems live at the seams".Source
    • HiringMember of Technical Staff - Engineering (San Francisco, posted April 14, 2026): builds the systems behind the RL and contributor platforms, including platforms that let contributors create RL environments, QA agents for data quality, and tooling to speed up environment and task creation.Source
    • HiringSoftware Engineer (contract, remote, posted April 14, 2026): builds high-fidelity environments, long-horizon tasks and robust verifiers, and turns research failure modes into new benchmarks. The postings say Polymath has raised more than $8M from Base10, Cervin Ventures, Founders Future, Y Combinator and angels, and works with the world's leading model labs.Source
  • 13

    Environments lose value as a lab's model learns them, and Polymath's research process already turns observed failure modes into new benchmarks. Tying that process to each customer's latest checkpoint is a natural reason to renew.

    High impactMedium effort First result in 1 quarter Strategic Projects Lead

    First action

    Offer the first quarterly drop to the most active customer.

    How to measure it

    Labs on a recurring task drop

    Now
    –
    Target
    Half of customers
    By
    2 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Propose the cadence

      To current customers.

      Founder & CEO 1 week

    2. 2

      Agree terms

      Model access and data handling.

      Strategic Projects Lead 2 weeks

    3. 3

      Run and cluster

      Failures on the newest checkpoint.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 1 week

    4. 4

      Build the tasks

      A new task family per cluster.

      Software Engineer (Contract) 3 weeks

    5. 5

      Deliver with QA

      Quality report attached.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 1 week

    6. 6

      Review the impact

      Did the failure rate fall in the next run?

      Member of Technical Staff - Research quarterly

    First result
    1 quarter
    Cost
    Team time per customer per quarter
    Owner
    Strategic Projects Lead

    Smallest test

    One customer, one drop.

    Why it works

    After each delivery, agree a quarterly cadence: Polymath runs the customer's newest model on its environments (under the customer's terms), clusters the failures, and ships a fresh task family aimed at them, with the quality report from idea 12. Price it as the subscription in idea 10.

    It ties renewals to the lab's own progress curve, and it is hard for a rival to copy without the same failure analysis.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Labs won't share checkpoints

      Use their public API models, or have the lab run the evals and share only the failure logs.

    Builds on

    Evidence

    • HiringSoftware Engineer (contract, remote, posted April 14, 2026): builds high-fidelity environments, long-horizon tasks and robust verifiers, and turns research failure modes into new benchmarks. The postings say Polymath has raised more than $8M from Base10, Cervin Ventures, Founders Future, Y Combinator and angels, and works with the world's leading model labs.Source
    • HiringMember of Technical Staff - Research (San Francisco, posted April 14, 2026): long-horizon evaluation, agent post-training and environment design focused on where current models fail, including investigating frontier-model failure modes, building benchmarks for complex tool-use tasks and publishing research.Source
    • Your website"Towards Greater Reliability and Autonomy in Software Engineering Agents" (January 10, 2026): Polymath works with frontier AI labs to customize and scale environments that simulate production systems, covering deployment, CI/CD and coordination tools such as Slack, Sentry, Linear and GCP; "RL on bad data only degrades model performance"; "The most difficult engineering problems live at the seams".Source
  • 14

    The research role is meant to publish, and the public sample (idea 8) covers only a few tasks. Academic agent researchers publish evaluation results, become lab researchers later, and need a hard, realistic benchmark that they can't build themselves.

    Medium impactMedium effort First result in 2 quarters Member of Technical Staff Res…

    First action

    Write a one-page access agreement.

    How to measure it

    Academic citations

    Now
    –
    Target
    5
    By
    3 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Write the terms

      No training, cite, share failures.

      Founder & CEO 2 days

    2. 2

      Set capacity

      Compute budget per group.

      Founder & CTO 1 day

    3. 3

      Open applications

      Form on /horizon-swe.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 1 day

    4. 4

      Select groups

      Agent and RL research focus.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 2 weeks

    5. 5

      Support

      Office hours twice a month.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research ongoing

    6. 6

      Track

      Papers, citations, hires.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research quarterly

    First result
    2 quarters
    Cost
    Compute credits and research time
    Owner
    Member of Technical Staff Research

    Smallest test

    Invite two groups.

    Why it works

    Offer a small number of university groups hosted access to the full Horizon-SWE set under a simple agreement: no training on it, cite it, and share failure analyses back. Put an application form on the Horizon-SWE page and pick groups working on agents and RL.

    Papers that use Horizon-SWE spread it into the research community labs hire from, and the shared failure reports feed the research notes (idea 7).

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Test set leaks

      Hosted runs only; no task files leave Polymath's systems.

    Builds on

    Evidence

    • HiringMember of Technical Staff - Research (San Francisco, posted April 14, 2026): long-horizon evaluation, agent post-training and environment design focused on where current models fail, including investigating frontier-model failure modes, building benchmarks for complex tool-use tasks and publishing research.Source
    • Your websiteHorizon-SWE post (published February 2, 2026, updated February 6): a containerized software company with a running app, live synthetic traffic and 73 tools over MCP, a monorepo with 20,000+ human-authored commits, and 50 tasks such as multi-service rollouts, incident response, API migrations and flaky-test fixes; graded on feature correctness, deployment and DevOps, and engineering quality; eight frontier models run in the OpenHands harness, with a best pass rate of 25.5% and a best partial-credit score of 60.4; "even the strongest models complete only about one in four runs successfully end-to-end". A case study shows a deployment failing on a missing database migration. No leaderboard, dataset or repository is linked.Source
  • 15

    Lab procurement and security teams review every data vendor. Polymath's footer Security link opens a Vanta trust center that shows only its title to a text reader, and the main site has no page explaining how environments are isolated, who sees customer model outputs, or who owns delivered tasks.

    Medium impactLow effort First result in 1 quarter Founder & CTO

    First action

    List the five questions lab security teams asked in past deals.

    How to measure it

    Procurement cycle time

    Now
    –
    Target
    -25%
    By
    2 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Collect questions

      From past security reviews.

      Founder & CEO 1 day

    2. 2

      Draft answers

      Isolation, retention, access, ownership.

      Founder & CTO 2 days

    3. 3

      Legal check

      Match contracts and the privacy policy.

      Founder & CEO 3 days

    4. 4

      Publish

      /security linked in the footer.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 1 day

    5. 5

      Link the trust center

      For documents on request.

      Founder & CTO 1 hour

    6. 6

      Update

      After each audit or policy change.

      Founder & CTO ongoing

    First result
    1 quarter
    Cost
    $0
    Owner
    Founder & CTO

    Smallest test

    Send the draft to one lab's procurement contact.

    Why it works

    Publish /security: how runs are isolated, what customer data and model outputs Polymath stores and for how long, contributor confidentiality and access controls, ownership of delivered environments and tasks, and how to request the trust center documents. Keep it factual and link the trust center for detail.

    A readable summary answers the first round of security questions before a call and shortens procurement for a young vendor.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Claiming more than is certified

      State only controls that are in place and audited.

    Evidence

    • Your websiteThe footer's Security link opens a Vanta trust center at trust.polymathlabs.ai that shows only its title to a text reader; the main site has no page on security or data handling.Source
    • Your websiteSitemap (7 URLs, checked November 9, 2026): the homepage, /blog, /careers, /privacy, /terms and two posts (/introducing-polymath and /blog/horizon-swe); no environment, benchmark, research, security or contributor pages, and no lastmod dates.Source

Big bets 4

Larger plays that can change the trajectory.

  • 16

    Polymath sells only to frontier labs, a short list of buyers who also build in-house. Many more companies build coding agents on top of frontier models and need to prove those agents work end-to-end, but they can't buy a lab-scale engagement.

    High impactHigh effort First result in 2 quarters Founder & CTO

    First action

    Ask five agent startups whether they would pay for a verified long-horizon score.

    How to measure it

    Teams on paid runs

    Now
    –
    Target
    15
    By
    3 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Validate demand

      Five interviews with agent teams.

      Founder & CEO 2 weeks

    2. 2

      Design the API

      Agent connects, run is sandboxed, report returned.

      Founder & CTO 2 weeks

    3. 3

      Build hosting

      Queued, isolated runs.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 6 weeks

    4. 4

      Write the report

      Scores, traces and failure classes.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 2 weeks

    5. 5

      Set pricing

      Per run and monthly quotas.

      Strategic Projects Lead 1 week

    6. 6

      Beta

      Five design partners.

      Founder & CEO 1 month

    7. 7

      Verified badge

      Public leaderboard entries for paid runs.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 2 weeks

    First result
    2 quarters
    Cost
    A quarter of engineering plus compute
    Owner
    Founder & CTO

    Smallest test

    Run three agent teams manually for a fee.

    Why it works

    Offer hosted runs: an agent team connects its agent to the simulated company and gets a scored report on the held-out set, with failure traces. Charge per run or by monthly quota. Offer an optional private leaderboard, and let teams publish verified scores on the public one.

    It reuses the environment already built, adds many smaller recurring customers, and makes Horizon-SWE the score agent companies quote to their own buyers.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Distracts from lab revenue

      Gate on demand interviews, and build on the same infrastructure.

    • Test-set overfitting by repeat runs

      Rate limits and a rotating held-out set.

    Builds on

    Evidence

    • Y CombinatorLaunch post: Polymath sells to frontier AI labs that want to acquire training environments; agents practice on work that could take humans days; "Leading models score around 25% on the benchmark"; the only ask is an email to the founders.Source
    • PressStartupHub.ai profile of Polymath (June 2026): "Polymath is selling the gym equipment, not just the scoreboard"; names Applied Intuition and labs' internal teams as competition; "Labs do not swap out evals casually."Source
    • Your websiteHorizon-SWE post (published February 2, 2026, updated February 6): a containerized software company with a running app, live synthetic traffic and 73 tools over MCP, a monorepo with 20,000+ human-authored commits, and 50 tasks such as multi-service rollouts, incident response, API migrations and flaky-test fixes; graded on feature correctness, deployment and DevOps, and engineering quality; eight frontier models run in the OpenHands harness, with a best pass rate of 25.5% and a best partial-credit score of 60.4; "even the strongest models complete only about one in four runs successfully end-to-end". A case study shows a deployment failing on a missing database migration. No leaderboard, dataset or repository is linked.Source
  • 17

    Horizon-SWE measures what an engineering leader actually worries about: feature rollouts, incident response, migrations and deployment, not just code. The case study shows correct code that still failed to deploy. Companies choosing between coding agents have no neutral, realistic way to compare them.

    High impactHigh effort First result in 2 quarters Founder & CEO

    First action

    Ask three engineering leaders how they choose coding agents today.

    How to measure it

    Enterprise bake-offs sold

    Now
    –
    Target
    5
    By
    3 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Interview buyers

      How agents are chosen today.

      Founder & CEO 3 weeks

    2. 2

      Define the package

      Agents, tasks, report, price.

      Strategic Projects Lead 2 weeks

    3. 3

      Add stack variants

      Common languages and clouds.

      Software Engineer (Contract) 6 weeks

    4. 4

      Design the report

      Pass rate, deploy rate, failure classes.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 2 weeks

    5. 5

      Pilot

      Two companies through investor intros.

      Founder & CEO 1 quarter

    6. 6

      Publish a case

      With permission.

      Founder & CEO 1 month

    First result
    2 quarters
    Cost
    Team time plus compute per bake-off
    Owner
    Founder & CEO

    Smallest test

    Run one unpaid bake-off for a friendly company.

    Why it works

    Package a fixed-price "agent bake-off": Polymath runs two to four candidate coding agents through the simulated company, optionally adding tasks shaped like the buyer's stack, and delivers a comparison report with failure traces. Start with engineering leaders in Polymath's investor networks.

    It opens a buyer group far larger than frontier labs, reuses the same environment, and makes Polymath's score part of enterprise purchasing.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Agent vendors object to the results

      Disclose the method, and keep reports private to the buyer.

    Builds on

    Evidence

    • Your websiteHorizon-SWE post (published February 2, 2026, updated February 6): a containerized software company with a running app, live synthetic traffic and 73 tools over MCP, a monorepo with 20,000+ human-authored commits, and 50 tasks such as multi-service rollouts, incident response, API migrations and flaky-test fixes; graded on feature correctness, deployment and DevOps, and engineering quality; eight frontier models run in the OpenHands harness, with a best pass rate of 25.5% and a best partial-credit score of 60.4; "even the strongest models complete only about one in four runs successfully end-to-end". A case study shows a deployment failing on a missing database migration. No leaderboard, dataset or repository is linked.Source
    • HiringStrategic Projects Lead (San Francisco, posted April 5, 2026): partnerships, data and new market expansion; best practices for organizing domain-expert teams; scaling the expert contributor network (sourcing, evaluating, onboarding and managing experts); leading zero-to-one data projects from scoping and PRDs through data quality; experience with RL environments and frontier-lab data sales is a plus.Source
    • HiringSoftware Engineer (contract, remote, posted April 14, 2026): builds high-fidelity environments, long-horizon tasks and robust verifiers, and turns research failure modes into new benchmarks. The postings say Polymath has raised more than $8M from Base10, Cervin Ventures, Founders Future, Y Combinator and angels, and works with the world's leading model labs.Source
  • 18

    Polymath dropped "in any domain" from its headline, and its public work is all software engineering. Yet the Strategic Projects Lead is hired for new market expansion and domain-expert teams, and YC also lists recursive self-improvement. Halluminate has claimed finance and consulting with a benchmark published in August 2026.

    High impactHigh effort First result in 3 quarters Strategic Projects Lead

    First action

    Tally domains named in lab conversations over the last two quarters.

    How to measure it

    Labs buying the second environment

    Now
    –
    Target
    2
    By
    3 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Tally demand

      Domains labs ask for.

      Strategic Projects Lead 1 week

    2. 2

      Score options

      Demand, reuse of current infrastructure, rival presence.

      Founder & CEO 1 week

    3. 3

      Recruit experts

      Through the contributor page.

      Strategic Projects Lead 1 month

    4. 4

      Build the environment

      Tools, data, live state.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 1 quarter

    5. 5

      Write tasks and verifiers

      30 long-horizon tasks.

      Software Engineer (Contract) 6 weeks

    6. 6

      Benchmark and launch

      Results post and leaderboard.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 1 month

    7. 7

      Sell

      To current customers first.

      Founder & CEO ongoing

    First result
    3 quarters
    Cost
    A quarter of team time plus contributor pay
    Owner
    Strategic Projects Lead

    Smallest test

    Pre-sell the domain to one lab before building it.

    Why it works

    Use the request-page answers (idea 2) and customer conversations to pick one adjacent long-horizon domain where Polymath's software-company simulation gives a head start, such as SRE and incident operations, data engineering pipelines, or ML research workflows. Build one environment, a 30-task benchmark and a launch post, staffed by the contributor network.

    A second public benchmark proves the method generalizes, widens what each lab can buy, and avoids competing head-on where a rival already leads.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Spreading a small team thin

      Start only once the software environment has a recurring customer base.

    Builds on

    Evidence

    • Your websitePositioning change: earlier in 2026 the headline was "We build the most advanced environments for training and evaluating AI agents on long-horizon, multi-tool tasks in any domain"; it is now "Simulation environments for training & evaluating autonomous agents".Source
    • HiringStrategic Projects Lead (San Francisco, posted April 5, 2026): partnerships, data and new market expansion; best practices for organizing domain-expert teams; scaling the expert contributor network (sourcing, evaluating, onboarding and managing experts); leading zero-to-one data projects from scoping and PRDs through data quality; experience with RL environments and frontier-lab data sales is a plus.Source
    • Y CombinatorCompany profile: Winter 2026 batch, team size 6, San Francisco; a data lab building RL environments to improve long-horizon agent performance, including for recursive self-improvement and long-horizon software engineering; the YC jobs list shows two roles.Source
    • Competitor researchHalluminate's homepage: "a data research lab building benchmarks and RL environments to push the frontier of AI in knowledge work", starting with financial services and consulting; lists an Expert Network; published the Westworld Finance Diligence Bench (August 11, 2026, 88 problems); contact by email only.Source
  • 19

    The engineering role builds platforms that let contributors create RL environments, plus tooling to speed up environment and task creation. For a six-person data lab, revenue capacity is set by how many verified tasks it can ship per week at quality.

    High impactHigh effort First result in 1 quarter Member of Technical Staff Eng…

    First action

    Count last month's tasks at each funnel stage.

    How to measure it

    Weekly verified task throughput

    Now
    –
    Target
    2x
    By
    2 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Baseline

      Tasks at each stage last month.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 2 days

    2. 2

      Find the bottleneck

      Stage with the longest wait.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 1 day

    3. 3

      Templates

      Reusable task scaffolds per family.

      Software Engineer (Contract) 3 weeks

    4. 4

      Verifier scaffolding

      Generate first-draft verifiers.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 1 month

    5. 5

      QA pre-review

      Agents flag weak tasks before human checks.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 1 month

    6. 6

      Dashboards

      Contributor and team throughput.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 2 weeks

    7. 7

      Weekly review

      Throughput and quality together.

      Founder & CTO weekly

    First result
    1 quarter
    Cost
    Most of one engineer for two quarters
    Owner
    Member of Technical Staff Engineering

    Smallest test

    Template one task family and time it.

    Why it works

    Define one throughput number, verified tasks shipped per week, and the funnel behind it: drafted, verifier passed, human-checked, delivered. Build platform features against the slowest stage: task templates, automatic verifier scaffolding, QA-agent pre-review and contributor dashboards. Review weekly.

    Throughput at fixed quality is the unit economics of a data lab. Doubling it doubles what each sale can deliver without more full-time hires.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Speed lowers quality

      Count only tasks that pass the quality report (idea 12).

    Builds on

    Evidence

    • HiringMember of Technical Staff - Engineering (San Francisco, posted April 14, 2026): builds the systems behind the RL and contributor platforms, including platforms that let contributors create RL environments, QA agents for data quality, and tooling to speed up environment and task creation.Source
    • Y CombinatorCompany profile: Winter 2026 batch, team size 6, San Francisco; a data lab building RL environments to improve long-horizon agent performance, including for recursive self-improvement and long-horizon software engineering; the YC jobs list shows two roles.Source

Wildcards 3

Unexpected experiments, each with a cheap way to test it.

  • 20

    Polymath says agents practice on work that could take humans days, but Horizon-SWE reports only model scores. Without a human pass rate and time per task, a 25% model score is hard to interpret: hard for whom, and how far from a professional?

    Medium impactMedium effort First result in 2 months Member of Technical Staff Res…

    First action

    Choose ten tasks and recruit five engineers.

    How to measure it

    Tasks with a human baseline

    Now
    –
    Target
    20 of 50
    By
    2 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Pick tasks

      Ten across task types.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 1 day

    2. 2

      Recruit engineers

      From the contributor network.

      Strategic Projects Lead 2 weeks

    3. 3

      Set rules

      Same tools and time limits as agents.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 2 days

    4. 4

      Run sessions

      Log time, passes and blockers.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 1 month

    5. 5

      Publish

      Side by side on the leaderboard.

      Founder & CEO 1 week

    6. 6

      Extend

      Up to 20 tasks.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 1 quarter

    First result
    2 months
    Cost
    Engineer time at contractor rates
    Owner
    Member of Technical Staff Research

    Smallest test

    Time two engineers on two tasks.

    Why it works

    Pay a group of experienced engineers from the contributor network to attempt a sample of tasks under the same tools and rules. Record pass rate, wall-clock time and where they got stuck. Publish human and agent results side by side on the leaderboard, plus an "hours of human work per task" figure.

    A human baseline makes the benchmark legible to buyers and press, backs the "days of work" claim with data, and doubles as a check that every task is solvable.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Humans pass easily, making the gap look small

      Report time and cost per task, not only pass rate.

    Builds on

    Evidence

    • Y CombinatorLaunch post: Polymath sells to frontier AI labs that want to acquire training environments; agents practice on work that could take humans days; "Leading models score around 25% on the benchmark"; the only ask is an email to the founders.Source
    • Your websiteHorizon-SWE post (published February 2, 2026, updated February 6): a containerized software company with a running app, live synthetic traffic and 73 tools over MCP, a monorepo with 20,000+ human-authored commits, and 50 tasks such as multi-service rollouts, incident response, API migrations and flaky-test fixes; graded on feature correctness, deployment and DevOps, and engineering quality; eight frontier models run in the OpenHands harness, with a best pass rate of 25.5% and a best partial-credit score of 60.4; "even the strongest models complete only about one in four runs successfully end-to-end". A case study shows a deployment failing on a missing database migration. No leaderboard, dataset or repository is linked.Source
    • HiringStrategic Projects Lead (San Francisco, posted April 5, 2026): partnerships, data and new market expansion; best practices for organizing domain-expert teams; scaling the expert contributor network (sourcing, evaluating, onboarding and managing experts); leading zero-to-one data projects from scoping and PRDs through data quality; experience with RL environments and frontier-lab data sales is a plus.Source
  • 21

    Polymath's environments wire in the coordination tools engineers use, such as Slack, Sentry, Linear and GCP, and Horizon-SWE gives agents 73 tools. Polymath can see exactly how agents use, misuse or ignore each one. Tool companies care about this as agents become their users.

    Medium impactMedium effort First result in 1 quarter Founder & CEO

    First action

    Count tool calls by tool in existing runs.

    How to measure it

    Co-published studies

    Now
    –
    Target
    2
    By
    3 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Count tool use

      Calls and outcomes per tool.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 1 week

    2. 2

      Pick a story

      One tool category with a clear finding.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 2 days

    3. 3

      Draft the study

      Charts and anonymized traces.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 2 weeks

    4. 4

      Pitch

      To the tool's developer-relations team.

      Founder & CEO 2 weeks

    5. 5

      Co-publish

      Both blogs and social channels.

      Founder & CEO 1 week

    6. 6

      Follow up

      Offer agent-readiness testing.

      Strategic Projects Lead 1 month

    First result
    1 quarter
    Cost
    Research time only
    Owner
    Founder & CEO

    Smallest test

    Publish one tool-use chart in a research note.

    Why it works

    Pick one tool category, such as error monitoring or issue tracking. Write a short study of how agents use it in Horizon-SWE runs: how often they consult it, which actions succeed, and where they go wrong. Offer it to that tool's developer-relations team to co-publish, promoted on both companies' channels.

    It borrows a large developer audience, positions Polymath as the source of agent-behaviour data, and may open a second kind of buyer: tool companies that want agent-readiness testing.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Simulated tools differ from the real product

      Say exactly how the tool is represented in the simulation.

    Builds on

    Evidence

    • Your website"Towards Greater Reliability and Autonomy in Software Engineering Agents" (January 10, 2026): Polymath works with frontier AI labs to customize and scale environments that simulate production systems, covering deployment, CI/CD and coordination tools such as Slack, Sentry, Linear and GCP; "RL on bad data only degrades model performance"; "The most difficult engineering problems live at the seams".Source
    • Your websiteHorizon-SWE post (published February 2, 2026, updated February 6): a containerized software company with a running app, live synthetic traffic and 73 tools over MCP, a monorepo with 20,000+ human-authored commits, and 50 tasks such as multi-service rollouts, incident response, API migrations and flaky-test fixes; graded on feature correctness, deployment and DevOps, and engineering quality; eight frontier models run in the OpenHands harness, with a best pass rate of 25.5% and a best partial-credit score of 60.4; "even the strongest models complete only about one in four runs successfully end-to-end". A case study shows a deployment failing on a missing database migration. No leaderboard, dataset or repository is linked.Source
  • 22

    A long-horizon run, with code, deploys, alerts and messages over hours, is Polymath's most vivid proof, but today it is reduced to a table and a written case study. Buyers and researchers can't see the live traffic, the tools or the moment an agent misses a migration.

    Medium impactMedium effort First result in 2 months Member of Technical Staff Eng…

    First action

    Export one existing run's log into a simple timeline.

    How to measure it

    Weekly replay views

    Now
    –
    Target
    500
    By
    2 quarters

    Steps

    1. 1

      Pick runs

      Three public runs: one pass, two telling failures.

      Member of Technical Staff - Research 1 day

    2. 2

      Normalize logs

      One event format across tools.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 1 week

    3. 3

      Build the timeline

      Actions, state and verdict.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 2 weeks

    4. 4

      Embed

      On /horizon-swe.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 2 days

    5. 5

      Clip it

      Short videos for social.

      Founder & CEO 1 week

    6. 6

      Private version

      For customers' own runs.

      Member of Technical Staff - Engineering 1 month

    First result
    2 months
    Cost
    About a month of engineering
    Owner
    Member of Technical Staff Engineering

    Smallest test

    A static timeline image of one run in a post.

    Why it works

    Build a web viewer for selected runs: a timeline of the agent's actions across repo, CI, deploy, monitoring and chat, with the environment's state alongside and the verifier's verdict at the end. Embed a few public runs on the Horizon-SWE page. Give customers a private version for their own runs.

    Showing beats telling for a hard-to-picture product. The viewer becomes the demo, the social clip and a feature customers use to debug their models.

    Risks and how to handle them

    • Public runs reveal task details

      Only replay tasks from the public sample.

    Builds on

    Evidence

    • Your websiteHorizon-SWE post (published February 2, 2026, updated February 6): a containerized software company with a running app, live synthetic traffic and 73 tools over MCP, a monorepo with 20,000+ human-authored commits, and 50 tasks such as multi-service rollouts, incident response, API migrations and flaky-test fixes; graded on feature correctness, deployment and DevOps, and engineering quality; eight frontier models run in the OpenHands harness, with a best pass rate of 25.5% and a best partial-credit score of 60.4; "even the strongest models complete only about one in four runs successfully end-to-end". A case study shows a deployment failing on a missing database migration. No leaderboard, dataset or repository is linked.Source
    • Your websiteHomepage (checked November 9, 2026): headline "Simulation environments for training & evaluating autonomous agents"; "Polymath is a data lab focused on increasing the reliability and autonomy of AI agents"; says it works with the leading model labs and is backed by Base10, Cervin Ventures and Y Combinator; sections for Applications & Services, Data, Tasks, Verifiers and Agent(s). It does not mention or link Horizon-SWE or any result, and the only contact is a "Get in touch" email link, shown three times; no form, booking link or newsletter.Source
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See every playbook and website review

Independent research. Programmable wrote this playbook from public sources, as they stood on November 10, 2026, and cites them throughout. Polymath did not commission, review or endorse it, and Programmable is not affiliated with Polymath. Company and product names are trademarks of their owners, used only to identify them. The ideas are suggestions and opinion, not professional, legal or financial advice, and not statements about how Polymath runs its business.

Something wrong, or do you represent Polymath? Email [email protected] and we will correct it or take it down.

30/60/90 roadmap

What to focus on in each month, and the ideas that carry it.

  1. Days 1 to 306 ideas

    Horizon-SWE on the homepage as a living leaderboard, a project-request page, an environments page, the careers fix, homepage hygiene and posting each result.

  2. Days 31 to 609 ideas

    The failure-mode series, a public sample split, harness listings, engagement packaging, the contributor page, per-delivery quality reports, task refreshes, academic access and a security summary.

  3. Days 61 to 907 ideas

    Commit to the big bets: hosted eval runs, Horizon-SWE for enterprise buyers, a second domain and contributor-platform throughput. Try the human baseline, tool-vendor co-publishing and a run replay viewer.

The research behind the plan

3 research areas, each summarised in a few lines. Open any of them for the full detail.

Customers

What customers say

Customers value realistic, long-horizon environments that go beyond writing code. The most cited problem: agents fail at the seams: deployment, migrations and tool coordination.

  • Verifiable outcomes rather than subjective grading
  • Bad RL data degrades models
  • In their words: “long-horizon”

Market

Competitive landscape

4 competitors compared: Mechanize, Halluminate, Applied Intuition and Labs' internal environment teams.

  • Gap to exploit: A living, public scoreboard for long-horizon, full-lifecycle software engineering
  • Mechanize: Focused on coding tasks rather than the full engineering lifecycle
  • Halluminate: Starts in finance and consulting, not software engineering

Hiring signals

Polymath is a six-person team hiring for four things.

  • Strategic Projects Lead: Partnerships, expert contributor network, new market expansion. Ideas 10, 11, 18.
  • Member of Technical Staff - Research: Failure modes, tool-use benchmarks, publishing. Ideas 1, 7, 14.
  • Member of Technical Staff - Engineering: Contributor platform, QA agents, faster task creation. Ideas 12, 19.

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